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Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Russia, Ukraine, and Other FSU Countries

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Author Info
Dalia Marin
Haizhou Huang
Chenggang Xu

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Abstract

This paper provides a unified analysis for the onset of the 1998 financial crisis and the strong economic recovery afterward in Russia and other former Soviet Union countries. Before the crisis a banking failure arose owing to the coexistence of a lemons credit market and high government borrowing. In a lemons credit market low credit risk firms switched from bank to nonbank finance, including trade credits and barter trade, generating an externality on banks' interest rates. The collapse of the treasury bills market in the financial crisis triggered a change in banks' lending behavior, providing initial conditions for banking development.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 04/105.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 12 Jul 2004
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:04/105

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Keywords: Financial crisis ; Russian Federation ; Ukraine ; Former Soviet Union ; Banking ; Economic models ;

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Guillermo Calvo & Fabrizio Coricelli, 1992. "Output Collapse in Eastern Europe - The Role of Credit," IMF Working Papers 92/64, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Akerlof, George A, 1970. "The Market for 'Lemons': Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Blanchard, Olivier & Kremer, Michael, 1997. "Disorganization," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 112(4), pages 1091-1126, November.
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  4. Prakash Loungani & Paolo Mauro, 2000. "Capital Flight from Russia," IMF Policy Discussion Papers 00/6, International Monetary Fund.
    Other versions:
  5. Dalia Marin & Monika Schnitzer, 1999. "Disorganization and Financial Collapse," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 285, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Perotti, Enrico, 2002. "Lessons from the Russian Meltdown: The Economics of Soft Legal Constraints," International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(3), pages 359-99, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Dr. Peter Kenning & Hilke Plassmann, 2004. "NeuroEconomics," Experimental 0412005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  8. Erik Berglof & Patrick Bolton, 2002. "The Great Divide and Beyond: Financial Architecture in Transition," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 77-100, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Deepak Mishra & Poonam Gupta & Ratna Sahay, 2003. "Output Response to Currency Crises," IMF Working Papers 03/230, International Monetary Fund.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Marin, Dalia, 2006. "The Vanishing Barter Economy in Russia: A Test of the Virtual Economy Hypothesis? Reply to Barry Ickes," Discussion Papers in Economics 753, University of Munich, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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