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The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Prices on Consumption in OECD Countries

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Author Info
Alexander Ludwig
Torsten Sløk

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Abstract

This paper quantifies the different impact of stock and house prices on consumption using data for 16 OECD countries. The analysis finds that the long-run impact of an increase in stock prices and house prices is in general higher in countries with a market-based financial system. The sensitivity of consumption to changes in stock wealth is about twice as large as the sensitivity to changes in housing wealth. Splitting the sample into the 1980s and 1990s shows that both countries with a market-based financial system and countries with a bank-based financial system moved toward a higher degree of responsiveness of consumption to changes in stock prices and house prices.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 02/1.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 08 Jan 2002
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:02/1

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Keywords: Stock markets Consumption Asset prices OECD Economic models

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Tamim Bayoumi & Hali Edison, 2003. "Is Wealth Increasingly Driving Consuption?," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 101, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Vincent Labhard & Gabriel Sterne & Chris Young, . "Wealth and consumption: an assessment of the international evidence," Bank of England working papers 275, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Xiaohui Liu & Chang Shu, 2004. "Consumption and stock markets in Asian economies," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 483-496, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Araújo, Eurilton, 2008. "Robust Monetary Policy with the Consumption-Wealth Channel," Ibmec Working Papers wpe_108, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
  5. Sukru Binay & Ferhan Salman, 2007. "A Critique on Turkish Real Estate Market," Working Papers 2008/8, Turkish Economic Association. [Downloadable!]
  6. Xiaohui Liu & Chang Shu, 2004. "Consumption and stock markets in Greater China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 365-368, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Christopher D. Carroll & Misuzu Otsuka & Jirka Slacalek, 2006. "How Large Is the Housing Wealth Effect? A New Approach," Economics Working Paper Archive 535, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Alexander Ludwig & Torsten Sløk, 2004. "The relationship between stock prices, house prices and consumption in OECD countries," MEA discussion paper series 04044, Mannheim Research Institute for the Economics of Aging (MEA), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde, 2003. "Un modèle « PAC » d'analyse et de prévision des dépense des ménages américains," Working Papers 03-13, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  10. Robert-Paul Berben & Alberto Locarno & Julian Morgan & Javier Valles, 2004. "Cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission," Working Paper Series 400, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Ludwig, Alexander & Sløk, Torsten, 2004. "The relationship between stock prices, house prices and consumption in OECD," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-12, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  12. Charles Grant & Tuomas Peltonen, 2005. "Housing and Equity Wealth Effects of Italian Households," DNB Working Papers 043, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  13. Funke, Norbert & Kißmer, Friedrich & Wagner, Helmut, 2006. "International Lessons for the Property Price Boom in South Africa," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2006 27, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Illing, Gerhard & Klüh, Ulrich, 2004. "Vermögenspreise und Konsum," Discussion Papers in Economics 316, University of Munich, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Robert-Paul Berben & Teunis Brosens, 2005. "The Impact of Government Debt on Private Consumption in OECD Countries," DNB Working Papers 045, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  16. Ludger Schuknecht & Felix Eschenbach, 2002. "Sensitivity analysis of volatility: a new tool for risk management," Working Paper Series 191, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  17. Carlo Cottarelli & Julio Escolano, 2004. "Assessing the Assessment: A Critical Look at the June 2003 Assessment of the United Kingdom's Five Tests for Euro Entry," IMF Working Papers 04/116, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  18. Massimo Giuliodori, 2004. "Monetary Policy Shocks and the Role of House Prices Across European Countries," DNB Working Papers 015, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  19. Sònia Muñoz, 2006. "Wealth Effects in Europe: A Tale of Two Countries (Italy and the United Kingdom)," IMF Working Papers 06/30, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  20. Ivo J.M. Arnold & Clemens J.M. Kool, 2003. "The Role of Inflation Differentials in Regional Adjustment: Evidence from the United States," Working Papers 04-13, Utrecht School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  21. Charles Grant & Tuomas A. Peltonen, 2008. "Housing and equity wealth effects of Italian households," Working Paper Series 857, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  22. Ludger Schuknecht & Felix Eschenbach, 2002. "Asset prices and fiscal balances," Working Paper Series 141, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  23. Jan Willem van den End, 2006. "Indicator and boundaries of financial stability," DNB Working Papers 097, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  24. Hali Edison & Torsten Sløk, 2003. "The impact from changes in stock market valuations on investment: new economy versus old economy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(9), pages 1015-1023, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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