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Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap

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Author Info

  • Sweta Chaman Saxena
  • Valerie Cerra

Abstract

This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of macroeconomic policies. The paper then compares results from some of these methods to the case of Sweden, showing the range of estimates.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 00/59.

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Length: 33
Date of creation: 01 Mar 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:00/59

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Related research

Keywords: Production; Unemployment; Economic models; nairu; equation; time series; unemployment rate; rate of unemployment; statistics; probabilities; natural rate of unemployment; equations; econometrics; random walk; employment; linear trend; polynomial; parameter estimate; forecasting; covariance; vector autoregression; financial statistics; fitted value; standard deviations; probability model; curve relationship; linear time trend; simultaneous equations; non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment; linear time; persistent unemployment; public employment; rate of change; probability; predictions; prediction; missing data; estimation period; aggregate unemployment rate; sampling; time series analysis; projection period; random walks; measurement errors; aggregate unemployment; estimation method; statistical methods; labor participation; linear models; dynamic time series;

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