Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap


Author Info

  • Sweta Chaman Saxena
  • Valerie Cerra


This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of macroeconomic policies. The paper then compares results from some of these methods to the case of Sweden, showing the range of estimates.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL:
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 00/59.

as in new window
Length: 33
Date of creation: 01 Mar 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:00/59

Contact details of provider:
Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA
Phone: (202) 623-7000
Fax: (202) 623-4661
Web page:
More information through EDIRC

Order Information:

Related research

Keywords: Production; Unemployment; Economic models; nairu; equation; time series; unemployment rate; rate of unemployment; statistics; probabilities; natural rate of unemployment; equations; econometrics; random walk; employment; linear trend; polynomial; parameter estimate; forecasting; covariance; vector autoregression; financial statistics; fitted value; standard deviations; probability model; curve relationship; linear time trend; simultaneous equations; non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment; linear time; persistent unemployment; public employment; rate of change; probability; predictions; prediction; missing data; estimation period; aggregate unemployment rate; sampling; time series analysis; projection period; random walks; measurement errors; aggregate unemployment; estimation method; statistical methods; labor participation; linear models; dynamic time series;


No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.


Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
This item has more than 25 citations. To prevent cluttering this page, these citations are listed on a separate page.


This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.


Access and download statistics


When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:00/59. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jim Beardow) or (Hassan Zaidi).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.