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¿Qué debemos explicar?: Reportando las Fluctuaciones Agregadas de la Economía Chilena

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Since the publication of the 1982 Kydland and Prescott’s paper, the business cycles literature has experienced significant changes. The traditional view characterized by product fluctuations mainly accounted for by nominal factors was replaced - at least in part - by models where all fluctuation sources are real. These models have shown to be capable of reproducing important features of the cycle, both for the United States and for Europe. In the less developed world, however, the view about fluctuations has remained relatively unchanged. There seems to be a generalized acceptance of the importance of money when uderstanding cycles in the region. Little evidence, however, has been provided in order to support or reject this believe. Recently, Kydland and Zarazaga (1997) offer an interesting description of the business cycle for Argentina and find no evidence of any significant differences with respect to business cycles in the developed world. More studies must be conducted in order to generalize their findings for the region. The main goal of this paper is to report evidence on the business cycles, nominal and real, for the Chilean economy complementing Kydland and Zarazaga’s work. Our findings suggest that fluctuations in Chile are similar to those reported for Argentina and the United States. In some cases, even more similar to the latter. We expect our reports not only help to create a systematic and generalized set of facts on the behavior of cycles in the developing countries, but also facilitate the understanding of the kind of models we need to better mimic the world.

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Paper provided by Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines in its series ILADES-Georgetown University Working Papers with number inv112.

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Handle: RePEc:ila:ilades:inv112

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Cited by:
  1. Helmut Franken & Guillermo Le Fort & Eric Parrado, 2006. "Business Cycle Responses and the Resilence of the Chilean Economy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus (ed.), External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 4, pages 071-108 Central Bank of Chile.
  2. Raimundo Soto & Raphael Bergoeing, 2002. "Testing Real Business Cycle Models in an Emerging Economy," Documentos de Trabajo 219, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
  3. Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta, 2006. "Stylized Facts of the Peruvian Economy," Working Papers 2006-005, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  4. Helmut Franken & Guillermo Le Fort & Eric Parrado, 2005. "Business Cycle Dynamics and Shock Resilience in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 331, Central Bank of Chile.
  5. Jorge Enrique Restrepo L. & Claudio Soto G., 2006. "Empirical Regularities Of The Chilean Economy: 1986-2005," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(2), pages 15-40, August.
  6. Jorge Enrique Restrepo & Claudio Soto, 2004. "Regularidades Empíricas de la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 301, Central Bank of Chile.
  7. Patricio Jaramillo, 2009. "Estimación de Var Bayesianos para la Economía Chilena," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines, vol. 24(1), pages 101-126, Junio.
  8. Andrés Acuña & Carlos Oyarzún, 2001. "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," Working Papers 06-2001, Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Concepción.
  9. Pacheco Jiménez, J.F., 2001. "Business cycles in small open economies: the case of Costa Rica," ISS Working Papers - General Series 19075, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.

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