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Modeling Korean Unification

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  • Marcus Noland

    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

  • Sherman Robinson

    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

  • Tao Wang

    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

Abstract

For North Korea, product market integration would generate large welfare gains, sufficient to end the famine. Additional gains could be had through military demobilization. For the South, the impact of product market integration would be trivial, but the impact of factor market integration would be considerable, affecting the composition of output, distribution of income, and rate of growth. Given moderately rapid technological convergence, expected levels of cross-border migration, and equalization of rates on return on capital, per capita incomes in the North would remain well below those in the South for an extended period.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcus Noland & Sherman Robinson & Tao Wang, 1999. "Modeling Korean Unification," Working Paper Series WP99-7, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:iie:wpaper:wp99-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Jong‐Wha Lee & Ju Hyun Pyun, 2018. "North Korea’s Economic Integration and Growth Potential," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 301-325, September.
    2. Sumie Sato & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2007. "The End of Import-Led Growth? North Korean Evidence," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 07-38, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    3. Funke, Michael & Strulik, Holger, 2005. "Growth and convergence in a two-region model: The hypothetical case of Korean unification," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 255-279, April.
    4. Noland, Marcus & Robinson, Sherman & Wang, Tao, 2000. "Modeling Korean Unification," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 400-421, June.
    5. Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada & Donghyun Park, 2014. "China’s Unification: Myth or Reality?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(4), pages 441-469, September.
    6. Moonsung Kang & Soonchan Park, 2018. "Institutional Economic Integration between South and North Korea and the Economic Impacts of Integration," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 257-276, September.
    7. Warwick J. McKibbin & Jong Wha Lee & Weifeng Liu & Cheol Jong Song, 2018. "Modeling the Economic Impacts of Korean Unification," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 227-256, September.
    8. Noland, Marcus & Robinson, Sherman & Wang, Tao, 2000. "Rigorous Speculation: The Collapse and Revival of the North Korean Economy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1767-1787, October.
    9. Moon, Weh-Sol & Mun, Sung Min & Lee, Jong-Kyu, 2018. "Macroeconomic impact of Korean reunification: The role of factor market opening," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-58.
    10. Kim, Byung-Yeon & Kim, Suk Jin & Lee, Keun, 2007. "Assessing the economic performance of North Korea, 1954-1989: Estimates and growth accounting analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 564-582, September.
    11. Ruiz Estrada, Mario Arturo & Park, Donghyun, 2008. "Korean unification: How painful and how costly," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 87-100.
    12. Sato, Sumie & Fukushige, Mototsugu, 2011. "The North Korean economy: Escape from import-led growth," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 76-83, February.

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