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Entry and competition effects in first-price auctions: theory and evidence from procurement auctions

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  • Tong Li

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Vanderbilt University)

  • Xiaoyong Zheng
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    Abstract

    Motivated by several interesting features of the highway mowing auction data from Texas Department of Transportation (TDoT), we propose a two-stage procurement auction model with endogenous entry and uncertain number of actual bidders. Our entry and bidding models pro vide several interesting implications. For the first time, we show that even within an independent private value paradigm, as the number of potential bidders increases, bidders equilibrium bidding behavior may become less aggressive because the entry effect is always positive and may dominate the negative competition effect. We also show that it is possible that the relationship between the expected winning bid and the number of potential bidders is non-monotone decreasing as well. We then develop an empirical model of entry and bidding controlling for unobserved auction heterogeneity to analyze the data. The structural estimates are used to quantify the entry effect and the competition effect with regard to the individual bids and the procurement cost, as well as the savings for the government with regard to the procurement cost when the entry cost is reduced.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies in its series CeMMAP working papers with number CWP13/06.

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    Length: 71 pp.
    Date of creation: Aug 2006
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:13/06

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    Cited by:
    1. An, Yonghong & Hu, Yingyao & Shum, Matthew, 2010. "Estimating first-price auctions with an unknown number of bidders: A misclassification approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 328-341, August.
    2. Antonio Estache & Atsushi Iimi, 2010. "Bidder Asymmetry in Infrastructure Procurement: Are There any Fringe Bidders?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 163-187, March.
    3. Susan Athey & Jonathan Levin & Enrique Seira, 2011. "Comparing open and Sealed Bid Auctions: Evidence from Timber Auctions," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 126(1), pages 207-257.
    4. De Silva, Dakshina & Pagel, Beatrice & Peeters, Ronald, 2008. "Sequential versus Simultaneous Auctioning of Procurement Contracts with Common Value and Private Value Components," Research Memorandum 005, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).

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