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International Business Cycle Coherence and Phases- A spectral analysis of output fluctuations of G7

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  • Peijie Wang

    ()
    (IESEG School of Management)

Abstract

This paper examines international linkages of co-movements in output fluctuations amongst G7 economies in the frequency domain. The paper has identified patterns in international business cycle co-movements among the G7, offering a general outlook of international business cycle co-movements and detailing the lower frequency, higher frequency and middle range characteristics of international linkages of output fluctuations. The main findings of the study are that co-movements among G7 economies are considerably stronger at lower frequencies, with clearer patterns of linkages of international output fluctuations, than those at higher frequencies and in middle ranges. The results and findings show support for real business cycle theory being extended to an international arena, with long effect real shocks impacting economies across borders.

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File URL: http://my.ieseg.fr/bienvenue/DownloadDoc.asp?Fich=132652026_2008-FIN-1_Wang.pdf
File Function: First version, 2008
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by IESEG School of Management in its series Working Papers with number 2008-FIN-01.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ies:wpaper:f200801

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Related research

Keywords: business cycles; frequency domain; coherence; phase;

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References

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  1. Clark, Peter K, 1987. "The Cyclical Component of U.S. Economic Activity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 797-814, November.
  2. AMBLER, Steve & CARDIA, Emanuela & ZIMMERMANN, Christian, 2000. "International Transmission of the Business Cycle in a Multi-Sector Model," Cahiers de recherche 2000-06, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  3. David K. Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe, 1991. "International evidence on the historical properties of business cycles," Staff Report 145, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  4. Backus, David K & Kehoe, Patrick J & Kydland, Finn E, 1992. "International Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(4), pages 745-75, August.
  5. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-70, November.
  6. Susanto Basu & Alan M. Taylor, 1999. "Business Cycles in International Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 45-68, Spring.
  7. Cochrane, John H, 1988. "How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 893-920, October.
  8. Watson, Mark W., 1986. "Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 49-75, July.
  9. A'Hearn, Brian & Woitek, Ulrich, 2001. "More international evidence on the historical properties of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 321-346, April.
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