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Regime switching GARCH models Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Luc Bauwens
Arie Preminger
Jeroen V.K. Rombouts () (IEA, HEC Montréal )
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registered author(s):
We develop univariate regime-switching GARCH (RS-GARCH) models wherein the conditional variance switches in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a time-varying probability, specified as a function of past information. We provide sufficient conditions for stationarity and existence of moments. Because of path dependence, maximum likelihood estimation is infeasible. By enlarging the parameter space to include the state variables, Bayesian estimation using a Gibbs sampling algorithm is feasible. We apply this model using the NASDAQ daily return series.
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Paper provided by HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée in its series Cahiers de recherche with number
06-08.
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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iea:carech:0608Contact details of provider: Postal: Institut d'économie appliquée HEC Montréal 3000, Chemin de la Côte-Sainte-Catherine Montréal, Québec H3T 2A7 Phone: (514) 340-6463 Fax: (514) 340-6469 Email: Web page: http://www2.hec.ca/iea/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: GARCH ; regime switching ; Bayesian inference. ; Other versions of this item:
Paper BAUWENS, Luc & PREMINGER, Arie & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen, 2006.
"Regime switching GARCH models ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2006011, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!] Luc, BAUWENS & Arie, PREMINGER & Jeroen, ROMBOUTS, 2006.
"Regime switching GARCH models ,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2006006, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
[Downloadable!] Find related papers by JEL classification: C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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Luc Bauwens & Charles S. Bos & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Adaptive Polar Sampling with an Application to a Bayes Measure of Value-at-Risk ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
99-082/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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Econometric Institute Report
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"Bayesian inference for the mixed conditional heteroskedasticity model ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2005085, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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Luc, Bauwens & J.V.K., ROMBOUTS, 2005.
"Bayesian inference for the mixed conditional heteroskedasticity model ,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2005058, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
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"Bayesian inference for the mixed conditional heteroskedasticity model ,"
Cahiers de recherche
06-07, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée.
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"Bayesian inference for the mixed conditional heteroskedasticity model ,"
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"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ,"
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Empirical Economics ,
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The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
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Christian Francq & Michel Roussignol & Jean-Michel Zakoian, .
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Sonderforschungsbereich 373
1998-86, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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Luc, BAUWENS & G., STORTI, 2007.
"A Component GARCH Model with Time Varying Weights ,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2007012, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
BAUWENS, Luc & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2007.
"A component GARCH model with time varying weights ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2007019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!] Giuseppe Storti & Luc Bauwens, 2006.
"A component GARCH model with time varying weights ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
388, Society for Computational Economics.
Luc Bauwens & Giuseppe Storti, 2009.
"A Component GARCH Model with Time Varying Weights ,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics ,
Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 13(2).
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"Are there Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility? ,"
Working Papers
tecipa-304, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
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Other versions: Luc, BAUWENS & Nikolaus, HAUTSCH, 2006.
"Modelling Financial High Frequency Data Using Point Processes ,"
Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques)
2006039, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
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Luc Bauwens & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2007.
"Modelling Financial High Frequency Data Using Point Processes ,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
SFB649DP2007-066, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
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"Modelling financial high frequency data using point processes ,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2006080, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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"Robustness of the Risk-Return Relationship in the U.S. Stock Market ,"
MPRA Paper
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"Real Time Detection of Structural Breaks in GARCH Models ,"
Working Papers
tecipa-336, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
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