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Determinantes del ahorro interno: El caso argentino

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Author Info
Ricardo López-Murphy
Fernando Navajas
Santiago Urbiztondo
Cynthia Moskovitz
Abstract

Se ha señalado en numerosos debates recientes que el proceso de crecimiento y estabilización macroeconómica iniciado en Argentina a comienzos de los años noventa, vino acompañado por una insuficiencia del ahorro doméstico para financiar el fuerte crecimiento de las inversiones. La contrapartida fue un importante déficit en cuenta corriente y un incremento en el ingreso de capitales hasta 1994. Desde entonces la economía argentina debió ajustarse a las condiciones originadas luego de la devaluación mexicana que durante 1995 se tradujeron, primero, en una fuerte contracción de depósitos y préstamos y, luego, en una caída importante del nivel de actividad económica. La preocupación sobre el problema del ahorro interno suficiente para sostener el sendero de crecimiento iniciado a comienzos de la década ha estado permanentemente en el análisis del desempeño macroeconómico, asi como en el debate sobre las políticas publicas.

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Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series RES Working Papers with number 3023.

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Date of creation: Jan 1998
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Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:3023

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  1. Jansen, W.J. & Schulze, G.G., 1993. "Theory-Based Measurement of the Saving-Investment Correlation with an Application to Norway," Papers 9302-g, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Institute for Economic Research.
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  2. N. Gregory Mankiw, 1985. "Consumer Durables and the Real Interest Rate," NBER Working Papers 1148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Mankiw, N. Gregory, 1982. "Hall's consumption hypothesis and durable goods," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 417-425. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Hubbard, R Glenn, 1986. "Pension Wealth and Individual Saving: Some New Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(2), pages 167-78, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995. "Nominal interest rates, consumption booms, and lack of credibility: A quantitative examination," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 357-378, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-25, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. von Furstenberg, George M, 1980. "Private Saving," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(2), pages 177-81, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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