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Determinantes del ahorro interno: El caso argentino

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  • Ricardo López-Murphy
  • Fernando Navajas
  • Santiago Urbiztondo
  • Cynthia Moskovitz
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    Abstract

    Se ha señalado en numerosos debates recientes que el proceso de crecimiento y estabilización macroeconómica iniciado en Argentina a comienzos de los años noventa, vino acompañado por una insuficiencia del ahorro doméstico para financiar el fuerte crecimiento de las inversiones. La contrapartida fue un importante déficit en cuenta corriente y un incremento en el ingreso de capitales hasta 1994. Desde entonces la economía argentina debió ajustarse a las condiciones originadas luego de la devaluación mexicana que durante 1995 se tradujeron, primero, en una fuerte contracción de depósitos y préstamos y, luego, en una caída importante del nivel de actividad económica. La preocupación sobre el problema del ahorro interno suficiente para sostener el sendero de crecimiento iniciado a comienzos de la década ha estado permanentemente en el análisis del desempeño macroeconómico, asi como en el debate sobre las políticas publicas.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series Research Department Publications with number 3023.

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    Date of creation: Jan 1998
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    Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:3023

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    1. Jansen, W Jos & Schulze, Gunther G, 1996. "Theory-Based Measurement of the Saving-Investment Correlation with an Application to Norway," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 34(1), pages 116-32, January.
    2. N. Gregory Mankiw, 1983. "Consumer Durables and the Real Interest Rate," NBER Working Papers 1148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Reinhart, Carmen & Vegh, Carlos, 1995. "Nominal interest rates, consumption booms, and lack of credibility: A quantitative examination," MPRA Paper 13898, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-25, August.
    5. von Furstenberg, George M, 1980. "Private Saving," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(2), pages 177-81, May.
    6. Mankiw, N. Gregory, 1982. "Hall's consumption hypothesis and durable goods," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 417-425.
    7. Hubbard, R Glenn, 1986. "Pension Wealth and Individual Saving: Some New Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(2), pages 167-78, May.
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