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Following Public Finances: The Mirage of MDBs Countercyclicality

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  • Avellán, Leopoldo
  • Galindo, Arturo
  • Lotti, Giulia

Abstract

This paper investigates the co-movement of sovereign lending from multilateral development banks (MDBs) and private creditors with government expenditure. The paper finds that multilateral sovereign lending follows government expenditure and that this correlation does not change if governments are running a surplus or a deficit. This finding raises doubts on the feasibility of MDBs to be counter-cyclical, unless the governments themselves implement counter-cyclical fiscal policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Avellán, Leopoldo & Galindo, Arturo & Lotti, Giulia, 2020. "Following Public Finances: The Mirage of MDBs Countercyclicality," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 10262, Inter-American Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:10262
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0002305
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    Cited by:

    1. Avellán, Leopoldo & Galindo, Arturo J. & Lotti, Giulia, 2021. "Sovereign external borrowing and multilateral lending in crises," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 206-238.
    2. Fleiss, Pablo, 2021. "Multilateral development banks in Latin America: Recent trends, the response to the pandemic, and the forthcoming role," Studies and Perspectives – ECLAC Office in Washington 46916, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multilateral Development Banks; International government debt; Capital flows; Counter-cyclicality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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