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Growing Demand for Animal-Protein-Source Products in Indonesia: Trade Implications

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Author Info
Jacinto F. Fabiosa () (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD))
Abstract

New elasticities were estimated from Indonesia's 1996, 1999, and 2002 National Socio-Economic Survey, or SUSENAS, data using a double-hurdle demand specification. The estimates suggest that major changes in Indonesian household diets are expected in the coming years, as income growth is sustained and as urbanization proceeds at a fast pace. The consumption "trading-up" pattern for animal-protein source products observed in many countries may also occur in Indonesia. In this particular case, households will shift from fish to dairy and meat products. The trade impacts of this emerging consumption pattern will be determined by the cost of adjustment in Indonesia's domestic productive capacity and the influence of the country's predominantly Islamic tradition.

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Paper provided by Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University in its series Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications with number 05-wp400.

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Date of creation: Jul 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:05-wp400

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Keywords: demand household consumption trade.

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  1. Andrew Jones & Steven Yen, 1994. "A box-cox double hurdle model," IFS Working Papers W94/06, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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  2. Huang, Jikun & David, Cristina C., 1993. "Demand for cereal grains in Asia: The effect of urbanization," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 8(2), pages 107-124, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Heckman, James J, 1979. "Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(1), pages 153-61, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Carol Newman & Maeve Henchion & Alan Matthews, 2001. "A Double-Hurdle Model of Irish Household Expenditure on Prepared Meals," Trinity Economics Papers 200119, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1973. "Regression Analysis when the Dependent Variable is Truncated Normal," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(6), pages 997-1016, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Yen, Steven T & Jensen, Helen H & Wang, Qingbin, 1996. "Cholesterol Information and Egg Consumption in the US: A Nonnormal and Hetroscedastic Double-Hurdle Model," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press for the Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 23(3), pages 343-56.
  7. Jones, Andrew M, 1989. "A Double-Hurdle Model of Cigarette Consumption," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(1), pages 23-39, Jan.-Mar.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Cranfield, John & James Eales & Thomas W. Hertel & Paul Preckel, 1998. "Changes in the Structure of Global Food Demand," GTAP Working Papers 295, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Yen, Steven T. & Jensen, Helen H., 1995. "Determinants of Household Expenditures on Alcohol," Staff General Research Papers 927, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Cragg, John G, 1971. "Some Statistical Models for Limited Dependent Variables with Application to the Demand for Durable Goods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 39(5), pages 829-44, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Fabiosa, Jacinto F., 2006. "Westernization of the Asian Diet: The Case of Rising Wheat Consumption in Indonesia," Staff General Research Papers 12587, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. John C. Beghin, 2005. "Dairy Markets in Asia: An Overview of Recent Findings and Implications," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 05-bp47, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Beghin, John C., 2006. "Evolving Dairy Markets in Asia: Recent Findings and Implications," Staff General Research Papers 12506, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Fabiosa, Jacinto F., 2008. "The Food-Away-from-Home Consumption Expenditure Pattern in Egypt," Staff General Research Papers 12962, Iowa State University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jacinto F. Fabiosa, 2006. "Westernization of the Asian Diet: The Case of Rising Wheat Consumption in Indonesia," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications 06-wp422, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
  6. repec:isu:genres:12424 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Jacinto F. Fabiosa, 2006. "Westernization of the Asian Diet: The Case of Rising Wheat Consumption in Indonesia," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 06-wp422, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
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