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Challenges in Modeling the Effects of Trade Agreements on the Agricultural Sector

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Abstract

Major issues and challenges encountered in modeling and analyzing agricultural and trade policy reforms are reviewed. We focus on the modeling approach and pay special attention to the type and scope of the models, the calibration of a realistic baseline scenario, the representation of the reform agreement, the use of extra-model information, the choice of metrics to measure reform impacts, and emerging issues in policy modeling. Existing solutions and unresolved issues are examined. We stress the complementarity of various modeling approaches in assessing policy reforms and the importance of helping users understand the limitations of the chosen approach.

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File URL: http://www.card.iastate.edu/publications/DBS/PDFFiles/04wp358.pdf
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File URL: http://www.card.iastate.edu/publications/synopsis.aspx?id=517
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Paper provided by Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University in its series Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications with number 04-wp358.

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Date of creation: Apr 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:04-wp358

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Keywords: agricultural policy; economic modeling; trade agreements.;

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  1. Helmar, Michael D. & Meyers, William H. & Hayes, Dermot J., 1993. "Gatt and Cap Reform: Different, Similar, or Redundant?," Staff General Research Papers 816, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  2. Hart, Chad E. & Babcock, Bruce A., 2002. "U.S. Farm Policy and the WTO: How Do They Match Up?," Estey Centre Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, Estey Centre for Law and Economics in International Trade, vol. 3(1).
  3. Richard E. Just, 2001. "Addressing the Changing Nature of Uncertainty in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1131-1153.
  4. Beghin, John C. & Bureau, Jean-Christophe, 2001. "Quantitative Policy Analysis of Sanitary, Phytosanitary and Technical Barriers to Trade," Staff General Research Papers 5119, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  5. Meilke, Karl D. & McClatchy, Don & Gorter, Harry de, 1996. "Challenges in quantitative economic analysis in support of multilateral trade negotiations," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 185-200, August.
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Cited by:
  1. Abler, David G., 2006. "Approaches to Measuring the Effects of Trade Agreements," Commissioned Papers 140762, Canadian Agricultural Trade Policy Research Network.
  2. Rivera-Ferre, Marta G. & Ortega-Cerda, Miquel, 2011. "Assessment of the Agri-food System for Sustainability: Recognizing Ignorance," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115965, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  3. Oyewumi, Olubukola Ayodeju, 2005. "Modeling tariff rate quotas in the South African livestock industry," Master's Degree Theses 28064, University of the Free State, Department of Agricultural Economics.
  4. Niemi, Jyrki S. & Kerkela, Leena & Lehtonen, Heikki, 2008. "Modelling the impacts of multilateral agricultural trade liberalization on the EU," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44334, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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