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Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland

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Author Info
Ralf Brüggemann
Carsten Trenkler

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Abstract

The catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland is analyzed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP versus the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous breaks in the level and the trend. We find that Czech Republic and Hungary are stochastically converging towards the Mediterranean group, while only Czech Republic is stochastically converging towards EU15. Remaining per capita GDP differences are only reduced by deterministic trends. Extrapolating these trends we find that catching up will take about 20 years.

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Paper provided by Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany in its series SFB 649 Discussion Papers with number SFB649DP2005-014.

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Length: 9 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2005
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Handle: RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-014

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Related research
Keywords: Stochastic convergence; Catching up; Unit root tests; EU accession;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution

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  2. Markus Fischer & Markus Reiss, 2005. "Discretisation of Stochastic Control Problems for Continuous Time Dynamics with Delay," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-038, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany, revised Dec 2005. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Markus Krätzig, 2005. "A Software Framework for Data Based Analysis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-044, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Yasemin Boztug & Lutz Hildebrandt, 2005. "An empirical test of theories of price valuation using a semiparametric approach, reference prices, and accounting for heterogeneity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-057, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Yasemin Boztug & Lutz Hildebrandt, 2005. "A Market Basket Analysis Conducted with a Multivariate Logit Model," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-028, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  13. Astrid Matthey, 2005. "Getting Used to Risks: Reference Dependence and Risk Inclusion," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-036, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  14. Wolfgang Härdle & Sigbert Klinke & Uwe Ziegenhagen, 2005. "Integrable e-lements for Statistics Education," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-058, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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