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Conditioning and the Sure-Thing Principle

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Author Info
Robert J. Aumann
Sergiu Hart
Motty Perry

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Abstract

This paper undertakes a careful examination of the concept of conditional probability and its use. The ideas are then applied to resolve a conceptual puzzle related to Savage's "Sure-Thing Principle."

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Rationality and Interactive Decision Theory, Hebrew University, Jerusalem in its series Discussion Paper Series with number dp393.

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Date of creation: Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:huj:dispap:dp393

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  1. Dov Samet, 2006. "Agreeing to disagree: The non-probabilistic case," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000536, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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