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The tail behavior of stock index return on the Jamaican Stock Exchange

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Abstract

This paper is concerned with the application of extreme value theory (EVT) to daily stock market closing prices on the Jamaican Stock Exchange to determine whether or not stock market returns follow a heavy-tail stable distribution. Our empirical result does not reject a heavy tail stable distribution for returns. It also establishes that the Jamaican Stock Exchange return index has a significantly fatter tail than returns from industrial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Terence D.Agbeyegbe, 2003. "The tail behavior of stock index return on the Jamaican Stock Exchange," Economics Working Paper Archive at Hunter College 305, Hunter College Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:htr:hcecon:305
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    File URL: http://econ.hunter.cuny.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/RePEc/papers/HunterEconWP305.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francis X. Diebold & Anthony M. Santomero, 1999. "Financial Risk Management in a Volatile Global Environment," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 99-43, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    2. McNeil, Alexander J. & Frey, Rudiger, 2000. "Estimation of tail-related risk measures for heteroscedastic financial time series: an extreme value approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(3-4), pages 271-300, November.
    3. Jansen, Dennis W & de Vries, Casper G, 1991. "On the Frequency of Large Stock Returns: Putting Booms and Busts into Perspective," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(1), pages 18-24, February.
    4. Ritchey, Robert J, 1986. "An Application of the Chi-squared Goodness-of-Fit Test to Discrete Common Stock Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 4(2), pages 243-254, April.
    5. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Poterba, James M. & Summers, Lawrence H., 1988. "Mean reversion in stock prices : Evidence and Implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 27-59, October.
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    Keywords

    Extreme market return..;

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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