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The Shadow of Death: Pre-exit Performance of Firms in Japan

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  • Kozo Kiyota
  • Miho Takizawa

Abstract

This paper examines the pre-exit productivity performance and asks how productivity affects future survival, using firm-level data in Japan for 1995-2002. We found that firms did not face "sudden death" but there was a "shadow of death." Future exiting firms had lower performance four years before their exit. Besides, within a hair 's breadth of death, the unobserved heterogeneity of firm such as management effort played an important role in the firm survival.

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File URL: http://hi-stat.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/research/discussion/2006/pdf/D06-204.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University in its series Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series with number d06-204.

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Date of creation: Jan 2007
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Handle: RePEc:hst:hstdps:d06-204

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Keywords: Pre-exit performance; Productivity; Size; Unobserved heterogeneity; Firm survival;

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Cited by:
  1. Bontemps, Christophe & Bouamra-Mechemache, Zohra & Simioni, Michel, 2012. "Quality Labels and Firm Survival in the French Cheese Industry," TSE Working Papers 12-335, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  2. Daniel Fackler & Claus Schnabel & Joachim Wagner, 2012. "Lingering illness or sudden death? Pre-exit employment developments in German establishments," Working Paper Series in Economics 258, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
  3. Lionel Nesta & Flora Bellone & Patrick Musso & Michel Quéré, 2006. "Productivity and Market Selection of French Manufacturing Firms in the Nineties," Sciences Po publications 2006-04, Sciences Po.
  4. HOSONO Kaoru, 2009. "Financial Crisis, Firm Dynamics and Aggregate Productivity in Japan," Discussion papers 09012, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  5. Bontemps, Christophe & Bouamra-Mechemache, Zohra & Simioni, Michel, 2011. "Quality Labels and Firm Survival in the Food Industry," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114263, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  6. KAWAKAMI Atsushi & MIYAGAWA Tsutomu & TAKIZAWA Miho, 2011. "Revisiting Productivity Differences and Firm Turnover: Evidence from product-based TFP measures in the Japanese manufacturing industries," Discussion papers 11064, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

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