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Bayesian Estimation of Unknown Heteroscedastic Variances

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Author Info
Hiroaki Chigira
Tsunemasa Shiba
Abstract

We propose a Bayesian procedure to estimate possibly heteroscedastic variances of the regression error term, without assuming any structure on them. What we propose in this paper, may be construed as a Conditional Bayesian procedure that is conditioned upon the HCCM obtained from the OLS estimation of the original regression model. After we obtain the Eicker-White HCCM, we set up a Bayesian model and use an MCMC to simulate posterior pdf's of heteroscedastic variances whose structures are unknown. In addition to the numerical examples, we present an empirical investigation on the stock prices of Japanese pharmaceutical and biomedical companies.

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Paper provided by Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University in its series Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series with number d06-185.

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Date of creation: Sep 2006
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Handle: RePEc:hst:hstdps:d06-185

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Related research
Keywords: Eicker-White HCCM; orthogonal regressors; conditional Bayesian; MCMC; stock return variance estimation;

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  1. Robinson, P M, 1987. "Asymptotically Efficient Estimation in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 875-91, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1983. "Partially generalized least squares and two-stage least squares estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 275-283, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Belsley, David A., 2002. "An investigation of an unbiased correction for heteroskedasticity and the effects of misspecifying the skedastic function," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1379-1396, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Chang, Eric C. & Dong, Sen, 2006. "Idiosyncratic volatility, fundamentals, and institutional herding: Evidence from the Japanese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 135-154, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-38, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Godfrey, L.G., 2006. "Tests for regression models with heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(10), pages 2715-2733, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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