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Channels of Interprovincial Risk Sharing in China

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  • Julan Du

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Qing He

    (Renmin University of China and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

  • Oliver M. Rui

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

Abstract

This paper decomposes consumption risk sharing among provinces in China over the 1980-2007 period. We find that 9.4 percent of the shocks to gross provincial product are smoothed by the interprovincial fiscal transfer system. This system also cushions a relatively large fraction of the province-specific shocks in the coastal provinces of China. Using a variety of indicators, we explore non-fiscal channels of consumption risk sharing. We find that the migration of rural labor to urban areas and the remittance of migrant wages play important roles in promoting interprovincial consumption risk sharing in the inland provinces of China. In contrast, the extent of risk sharing through financial intermediaries and the capital markets is very limited. These factors have resulted in a low degree of risk sharing among Chinese provinces, especially over the last decade.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research in its series Working Papers with number 122011.

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Length: 46 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:122011

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Keywords: Consumption Risk Sharing; Chinese Economy; Fiscal System; Credit Markets; Remittance;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. He , Qing & Xue, Chang & Zhu, Chenqi, 2014. "Financial development and patterns of industrial specialization: Regional evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  2. Nasser Ary Tanimoune & Cécile Batisse & Mary-Françoise Renard, 2013. "Foreign Direct Investment across China: what should we learn from spatial dependences?," Working Papers halshs-00878888, HAL.
  3. Masayoshi Hayashi, 2013. "On the Decomposition of Regional Stabilization and Redistribution," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-910, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  4. He, Qing & Leung, Pak-Ho & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2013. "Factor-augmented VAR analysis of the monetary policy in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 88-104.
  5. Lai, Jennifer T. & McNelis, Paul D. & Yan, Isabel K.M., 2013. "Regional capital mobility in China: Economic reform with limited financial integration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 493-503.

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