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Hong Kong's Consumption Function Revisited

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Author Info
Li-gang Liu (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)
Laurent Pauwels (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)
Andrew Tsang (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)
Abstract

This paper revisits the relationship among consumption, income and wealth using Hong Kong data. We find that the permanent income hypothesis is weakly supported by Hong Kong¡¦s consumption data prior to 1997, but it is not supported for the sample period after 1997 and the whole sample period spanning from 1984 to 2006. Furthermore, we find that both anticipated and unanticipated income and wealth effects have influences on Hong Kong¡¦s consumption. While temporary tax changes may have some impact on consumption of durable goods, the evidence that they also affect overall consumption remains limited.

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File URL: http://www.info.gov.hk/hkma/eng/research/working/pdf/HKMAWP07_16_full.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Hong Kong Monetary Authority in its series Working Papers with number 0716.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hkg:wpaper:0716

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Related research
Keywords: Permanent income hypothesis; consumption smoothness; anticipated and unanticipated effects;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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  1. Hall, Robert E, 1988. "Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(2), pages 339-57, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. John Y. Campbell & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1989. "Consumption, Income and Interest Rates: Reinterpreting the Time Series Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Volume 4, pages 185-246 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Joanne Cutler, 2004. "The Relationship between Consumption, Income and Wealth in Hong Kong," Macroeconomics 0403013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Joanne Cutler, 2004. "The Relationship between Consumption, Income and Wealth in Hong Kong," Working Papers 012004, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  6. Dor, E & Thurston, T & Weiserbs, D, 1987. "On Testing the Permanent Income Hypothesis and Rational Expectations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 137-56.
  7. Phillips, Peter C B & Ouliaris, S, 1990. "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 165-93, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. John Dodsworth & Dubravko Mihaljek, 1997. "Hong Kong, China: Growth, Structural Change, and Economic Stability During the Transition," IMF Occasional Papers 152, International Monetary Fund.
  9. Drobny, A & Hall, S G, 1989. "An Investigation of the Long-run Properties of Aggregate Non-durable Consumers' Expenditure in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(396), pages 454-60, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. repec:fth:harver:1435 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Martin Browning & Thomas F. Crossley, 2001. "The Life-Cycle Model of Consumption and Saving," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 3-22, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    Other versions:
  14. Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978. "Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-92, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Flavin, Marjorie A, 1981. "The Adjustment of Consumption to Changing Expectations about Future Income," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(5), pages 974-1009, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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