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The Big Mac Standard: A Statistical Illustration

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  • Fujiki, Hiroshi
  • 藤木, 裕
  • フジキ, ヒロシ
  • Kitamura, Yukinobu
  • 北村, 行伸
  • キタムラ, ユキノブ

Abstract

We demonstrate a statistical procedure for selecting the most suitable empirical model to test an economic theory, using the example of the test for purchasing power parity based on the Big Mac Index. Our results show that supporting evidence for purchasing power parity, conditional on the Balassa-Samuelson effect, depends crucially on the selection of models, sample periods and economies used for estimations.

Suggested Citation

  • Fujiki, Hiroshi & 藤木, 裕 & フジキ, ヒロシ & Kitamura, Yukinobu & 北村, 行伸 & キタムラ, ユキノブ, 2003. "The Big Mac Standard: A Statistical Illustration," Discussion Paper Series a446, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:hituec:a446
    Note: Bibliography: p. 11-12, First Draft: March, 1997; Second Draft: September, 2002; Revised: October, 2003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kenneth Rogoff, 1996. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June.
    2. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
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    4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48.
    5. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
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    8. Michael R. Pakko & Patricia S. Pollard, 1996. "For here or to go? Purchasing power parity and the Big Mac," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 78(Jan), pages 3-22.
    9. Hiroshi Fujiki & Yukinobu Kitamura, 1995. "Feldstein-Horioka Paradox Revisited," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, July.
    10. Ahn, Seung C. & Schmidt, Peter, 1995. "Efficient estimation of models for dynamic panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 5-27, July.
    11. Hsiao, Cheng & Hashem Pesaran, M. & Kamil Tahmiscioglu, A., 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of fixed effects dynamic panel data models covering short time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 107-150, July.
    12. Ong, Li Lian, 1997. "Burgernomics: the economics of the Big Mac standard," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 865-878, December.
    13. Fujiki, Hiroshi & Hsiao, Cheng & Shen, Yan, 2002. "Is There a Stable Money Demand Function under the Low Interest Rate Policy? A Panel Data Analysis," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 20(2), pages 1-23, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio Da Silva & Guilherme Moura & Sidney Caetano, 2004. "Big Mac parity, income, and trade," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(12), pages 1-8.
    2. Sandeep Mazumder, 2016. "iPad Purchasing Parity: Farewell to the Big Mac Index," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2128-2136.
    3. Joe Cox, 2008. "Purchasing power parity and cultural convergence: evidence from the global video games market," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 32(3), pages 201-214, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Big Mac Index; Purchasing Power Parity; Panel Data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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