Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

生活保護率の上昇要因:長期時系列データに基づく考察

Contents:

Author Info

  • 周, 燕飛
  • 鈴木, 亘
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    本稿は、近年の生活保護率の上昇について、時系列データによる要因分解を試みた。具体的には、1960年4月から2011年3月までの長期時系列データを用いてStructural VARを推定し、Blanchard=Quah分解法によって、一時的要因(temporary Shock)と、恒常的要因(permanent shock)への分解を試みた。その結果、1992年4月以降の生活保護率上昇はそれ以前の情報では説明できないほど上方に乖離しており、その乖離の大部分を恒常的要因が説明することが分かった。特に、2008年9月に起きたリーマン・ショック以降の生活保護率急増は、一般に信じられている景気変動の一時的要因ではなく、そのほとんどを恒常的要因が説明する。その恒常的要因は何によってもたらされているのか、それを特定化することは難しいが、2009年3月以降に次々と出された厚生労働省の通達によって、生活保護受給の基準が、特に稼働能力層において実質的に緩和されたという「制度変更要因」が、大きく影響しているものと思われる。

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/rs/bitstream/10086/19348/1/cis_dp525.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University in its series CIS Discussion paper series with number 525.

    as in new window
    Length: 16p
    Date of creation: Sep 2011
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:hit:cisdps:525

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: 2-1 Naka, Kunitachi City, Tokyo 186-8603
    Phone: +81-42-580-8336
    Fax: +81-42-580-8333
    Email:
    Web page: http://cis.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords: 生活保護; Blanchard=Quah 分解法; 歴史的分解;

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    References

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hit:cisdps:525. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Digital Resources Section, Hitotsubashi University Library).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.