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Time Series Modelling Of High Frequency Stock Transaction Data

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Author Info
Quoreshi, Shahiduzzaman () (Department of Economics, Umeå University)

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Abstract

This thesis comprises four papers concerning modelling of financial count data. Paper [1], [2]

and [3] advance the integer-valued moving average model (INMA), a special case of integer-valued

autoregressive moving average (INARMA) model class, and apply the models to the number of

stock transactions in intra-day data. Paper [4] focuses on modelling the long memory property of

time series of count data and on applying the model in a financial setting.

Paper [1] advances the INMA model to model the number of transactions in stocks in intraday

data. The conditional mean and variance properties are discussed and model extensions to

include, e.g., explanatory variables are offered. Least squares and generalized method of moment

estimators are presented. In a small Monte Carlo study a feasible least squares estimator comes out

as the best choice. Empirically we find support for the use of long-lag moving average models in a

Swedish stock series. There is evidence of asymmetric effects of news about prices on the number

of transactions.

Paper [2] introduces a bivariate integer-valued moving average (BINMA) model and applies the

BINMA model to the number of stock transactions in intra-day data. The BINMA model allows

for both positive and negative correlations between the count data series. The study shows that

the correlation between series in the BINMA model is always smaller than one in an absolute sense.

The conditional mean, variance and covariance are given. Model extensions to include explanatory

variables are suggested. Using the BINMA model for AstraZeneca and Ericsson B it is found that

there is positive correlation between the stock transactions series. Empirically, we find support for

the use of long-lag bivariate moving average models for the two series.

Paper [3] introduces a vector integer-valued moving average (VINMA) model. The VINMA

model allows for both positive and negative correlations between the counts. The conditional and

unconditional first and second order moments are obtained. The CLS and FGLS estimators are

discussed. The model is capable of capturing the covariance between and within intra-day time

series of transaction frequency data due to macroeconomic news and news related to a specific

stock. Empirically, it is found that the spillover effect from Ericsson B to AstraZeneca is larger

than that from AstraZeneca to Ericsson B.

Paper [4] develops models to account for the long memory property in a count data framework

and applies the models to high frequency stock transactions data. The unconditional and conditional

first and second order moments are given. The CLS and FGLS estimators are discussed.

In its empirical application to two stock series for AstraZeneca and Ericsson B, we find that both

series have a fractional integration property.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Umeå University, Department of Economics in its series Umeå Economic Studies with number 675.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 120 pages
Date of creation: 11 Apr 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:umnees:0675

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Postal: Department of Economics, Umeå University, S-901 87 Umeå, Sweden
Phone: 090 - 786 61 42
Fax: 090 - 77 23 02
Email:
Web page: http://www.econ.umu.se/
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For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Kjell-Göran Holmberg).

Related research
Keywords: Count data; Intra-day; High frequency; Time series; Estimation; Long memory; Finance;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Granger, Clive W. J. & Ding, Zhuanxin, 1996. "Varieties of long memory models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 61-77, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Brännäs, Kurt & Quoreshi, Shahiduzzaman, 2004. "Integer-Valued Moving Average Modelling of the Number of Transactions in Stocks," UmeÃ¥ Economic Studies 637, Umeå University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Geetesh Bhardwaj & Norman Swanson, 2004. "An Empirical Investigation of the Usefulness of ARFIMA Models for Predicting Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series," Departmental Working Papers 200422, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Baillie, Richard T., 1996. "Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 5-59, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bask, Mikael, 1998. "Essays on Exchange Rates: Deterministic Chaos and Technical Analysis," UmeÃ¥ Economic Studies 465, Umeå University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Francis X. Diebold, 1988. "Random walks versus fractional integration: power comparisons of scalar and joint tests of the variance-time function," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 41, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  7. Granger, C. W. J., 1980. "Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 227-238, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Lo, Andrew W, 1991. "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(5), pages 1279-313, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sahlén, Linda, 2009. "Essays on Environmental and Development Economics - Public Policy, Resource Prices and Global Warming," UmeÃ¥ Economic Studies 762, Umeå University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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