A Finer Point in Forensic Identification
AbstractIn this note I bring a new aspect into the so called Island Problem. Given that only cases where there is a suspect reaches the court, what is the consequence for the probability of guilt? I find that it indeed matters for the results that court cases are selected in this way. The analysis illustrates the general point that the exact protocol by which data are generated is an essential part of the information that should be used when analyzing data.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Oslo University, Department of Economics in its series Memorandum with number 30/2003.
Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 01 Oct 2003
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics, University of Oslo, P.O Box 1095 Blindern, N-0317 Oslo, Norway
Phone: 22 85 51 27
Fax: 22 85 50 35
Web page: http://www.oekonomi.uio.no/indexe.html
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Bayesian analysis; Forensic statistics;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2003-12-07 (All new papers)
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