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A Finer Point in Forensic Identification

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Author Info
Mehlum, Halvor () (Dept. of Economics, University of Oslo)

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Abstract

In this note I bring a new aspect into the so called Island Problem. Given that only cases where there is a suspect reaches the court, what is the consequence for the probability of guilt? I find that it indeed matters for the results that court cases are selected in this way. The analysis illustrates the general point that the exact protocol by which data are generated is an essential part of the information that should be used when analyzing data.

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File URL: http://www.oekonomi.uio.no/memo/memopdf/memo3003.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Oslo University, Department of Economics in its series Memorandum with number 30/2003.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 01 Oct 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:osloec:2003_030

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics, University of Oslo, P.O Box 1095 Blindern, N-0317 Oslo, Norway
Phone: 22 85 51 27
Fax: 22 85 50 35
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Web page: http://www.oekonomi.uio.no/indexe.html
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Related research
Keywords: Bayesian analysis; Forensic statistics;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-22.

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