Testing Market Efficiency in a Fixed Odds Betting Market
AbstractThis paper tests the hypothesis of market efficiency for the fixed odds betting market of Swedish trotting head-to-head matches. The hypothesis is carried out by a Wald test within a logistic regression model. Data support rejection of semi-strong efficiency at the 5 percent level of significance, while the weak form efficiency cannot be rejected. Moreover, evaluation of the simple strategy to bet on those horses where, conditional on the estimated model, the expected profit is positive results in a profit of 7.8 percent per bet.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Örebro University, School of Business in its series Working Papers with number 2007:12.
Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 13 Dec 2007
Date of revision:
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Postal: Örebro University School of Business, SE - 701 82 ÖREBRO, Sweden
Phone: 019-30 30 00
Fax: 019-33 25 46
Web page: http://www.oru.se/Institutioner/Handelshogskolan-vid-Orebro-universitet/
More information through EDIRC
EMH; betting; trotting; market; efficiency; logit; Wald;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-12-19 (All new papers)
- NEP-FMK-2007-12-19 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-LAB-2007-12-19 (Labour Economics)
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