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Are Underwriter-Analysts More Informed? Scandinavian Evidence

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  • Lidén, Erik R.

    () (Department of Economics, School of Economics and Commercial Law, Göteborg University)

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    Abstract

    Excess returns for Scandinavian IPO-firm initial buy recommendations registered on the First Call database from underwriter analysts (informed analysts) for 1996-2002 were compared to those of non-underwriter analysts (uninformed analysts). Underwriter analysts recommendations outperformed non-underwriter analyst recommendations during the first year after publication, yielding 28 percent higher mean excess returns. Supporting the superior-information hypothesis and contradict earlier research, the result may be explained by two factors: (1) a lower regional competition between banks for winning corporate finance deals in Scandinavia than the regional competition between banks in the U.S.; and (2) an extended analyst coverage of IPO firms today than during earlier periods making it costlier for underwriter analysts to be caught with giving positively biased buy recommendations.

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2077/2784
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers in Economics with number 132.

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    Length: 19 pages
    Date of creation: 28 Jun 2004
    Date of revision: 19 Nov 2004
    Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0132

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, University of Gothenburg, Box 640, SE 405 30 GÖTEBORG, Sweden
    Phone: 031-773 10 00
    Web page: http://www.handels.gu.se/econ/
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    Keywords: Initial public offerings; Quiet period; Stock recommendations; Underwriter analysts;

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    1. Lin, Hsiou-wei & McNichols, Maureen F., 1998. "Underwriting relationships, analysts' earnings forecasts and investment recommendations," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 101-127, February.
    2. Ljungqvist, Alexander P & Marston, Felicia & Wilhelm Jr, William J, 2003. "Competing for Securities Underwriting Mandates: Banking Relationships and Analyst Recommendations," CEPR Discussion Papers 4162, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Daniel J. Bradley & Bradford D. Jordan & Jay R. Ritter, 2003. "The Quiet Period Goes out with a Bang," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(1), pages 1-36, 02.
    4. Heckman, James J, 1979. "Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(1), pages 153-61, January.
    5. Carter, Richard B & Manaster, Steven, 1990. " Initial Public Offerings and Underwriter Reputation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1045-67, September.
    6. Jay R. Ritter, 2003. "Differences between European and American IPO Markets," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 9(4), pages 421-434.
    7. Michaely, Roni & Womack, Kent L, 1999. "Conflict of Interest and the Credibility of Underwriter Analyst Recommendations," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 653-86.
    8. Jay Ritter & Ivo Welch, 2002. "A Review of IPO Activity, Pricing and Allocations," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm258, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Apr 2002.
    9. Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik, 2003. "Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(1), pages 313-351, 02.
    10. Rajan, Raghuram & Servaes, Henri, 1997. " Analyst Following of Initial Public Offerings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 507-29, June.
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