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Does monetary union reduce employment?

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  • Rantala, Anssi

    (Bank of Finland Research)

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    Abstract

    We use a two-country monetary model with unionized labor markets and open-economy spillovers to study the macroeconomic consequences of the formation of a monetary union. It is shown that the monetary regime affects the trade-off between real consumer wages and employment faced by the unions. Consequently, the equilibrium employment is endogenous and depends on the monetary regime. In particular, a switch from a floating exchange rate regime to a monetary union improves employment, provided that the degree of central bank conservatism is sufficiently high, whereas with low degrees of conservatism employment falls. Inflation is higher in a monetary union with all finite degrees of central bank conservatism. In addition, we consider an asymmetric fixed exchange rate regime as an alternative starting position for a monetary union. All results are derived assuming that labor unions are only interested in employment and real wages (not directly inflation) and that all structural parameters of the model remain unchanged when a monetary union is established.

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    File URL: http://www.suomenpankki.fi/en/julkaisut/tutkimukset/keskustelualoitteet/Documents/0107.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Bank of Finland in its series Research Discussion Papers with number 7/2001.

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    Length: 39 pages
    Date of creation: 21 May 2001
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:hhs:bofrdp:2001_007

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Bank of Finland, P.O. Box 160, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland
    Web page: http://www.suomenpankki.fi/en/
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    Related research

    Keywords: monetary union; employment; labour unions; open-economy spillovers; central bank conservatism;

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    Cited by:
    1. Holmlund, Bertil, 2003. "The Rise and Fall of Swedish Unemployment," Working Paper Series 2003:13, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    2. René Cabral-Torres, . "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination," Discussion Papers 05/28, Department of Economics, University of York.

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