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What Do We Know about Productivity Gaps and Convergence in EMU Economies?

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Author Info
Tyrväinen, Timo (Bank of Finland)
Abstract

This paper examines labour productivity levels and growth rates in 10 EMU economies: Germany, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Austria, Finland, Ireland and Portugal. In general, European economies still lag behind the United States in terms of productivity level. Available estimates indicate that in the tradables sector (mainly manufacturing) Belgium, France, the Netherlands and (perhaps more recently) Finland are the top performers among the European countries. There seems to be more room for catch-up growth in Portugal and Spain. For Ireland, relevant sectoral data were not available. As for the nontradables sector (mainly services), one can only draw tentative conclusions. European economies seem to have improved their performance relative to the US, but there is considerable heterogeneity across the different industrial sectors within each country. Hence there is probably room for sectoral catch-up growth in each of these economies, especially so in Portugal and Ireland, with the least room in Belgium, France and the Netherlands. A "stylized fact" indicates that labour productivity tends to grow faster in the tradables sector. On the other hand, the well-established Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis states that higher sectoral differences in productivity growth tend to generate higher sectoral inflation differentials and these, in turn, induce higher aggregate inflation. Against this backround, it is interesting to note that differentials in sectoral productivity growth rates seem to have been surprisingly similar among the countries studied: they have varied between 2 and 3 percentage points on average during the period studied. The overall view of the paper is that, due to the structural heterogeneity of countries concerned and measurement problems, caution should be exercised in classifying the EMU-countries into high- and low-productivity economies. A fairly certain conclusion of this study is that relative to the US there is still room for catch-up growth in productivity in all the countries, perhaps more so in Ireland, Portugal and Spain.

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File URL: http://www.bof.fi/NR/rdonlyres/7D0A5735-D3CE-4C1C-876D-5F2988E9FAB7/0/DP_31_1998.pdf
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Paper provided by Bank of Finland in its series Research Discussion Papers with number 31/1998.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: 18 Dec 1998
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:bofrdp:1998_031

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Postal: Bank of Finland, P.O. Box 160, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland
Web page: http://www.bof.fi/en/tutkimus
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Related research
Keywords: EMU; convergence; productivity; Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Bernard, Andrew B & Jones, Charles I, 1996. "Comparing Apples to Oranges: Productivity Convergence and Measurement across Industries and Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(5), pages 1216-38, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jose De Gregorio & Holger C. Wolf & Alberto Giovannini, 1994. "International Evidence on Tradables and Nontradables Inflation," IMF Working Papers 94/33, International Monetary Fund.
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  3. Dirk Pilat, 1996. "Labour Productivity Levels in OECD Countries: Estimates for Manufacturing and Selected Service Sectors," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 169, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Vladislav Flek & Lenka Markova & Jiri Podpiera, 2002. "Sectoral Productivity and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation: Much Ado about Nothing?," Working Papers 2002/04, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Camarero, Mariam & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Tamarit, Cecilio R., 2004. "Monetary union and productivity differences in mercosur countries," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 542, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
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  3. José García Solanes & Fernando Torrejón Flores, . "Testing the BalassA-Samuelson hypothesis in two different groups of countries: OECD and Latin America," Working Papers on International Economics and Finance 05-02, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Björkstén, Nils & Syrjänen, Miika, 1999. "Divergences in the Euro Area: a Cause for Concern?," Research Discussion Papers 11/1999, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
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