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Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model

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Author Info
Buhai, Sebastian () (Department of Economics, Aarhus School of Business)
Teulings, Coen (SEO Economic Research)

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Abstract

This paper provides a new way of analyzing tenure profiles in wages,

by modelling simultaneously the evolution of wages and the distribution

of tenures. Starting point is the observation that within-job log wages for

an individual can be described by random walk. We develop a theoretical

model based on efficient bargaining, where both log outside wage and log

wage in the current job follow a random walk. This setting allows the

application of real option theory. We derive the efficient separation rule,

which stipulates that workers switch jobs when the difference between the

outside wage and the wage in the current job reaches a threshold. The

model fits well the observed distribution of job tenures. Since we observe

outside wages only at job start and job separation, our empirical analysis

of within job wage growth is based on expected wage growth conditional

on the outside wages at both dates. Our modelling allows testing of the

efficient bargaining hypothesis. The model is estimated on the PSID.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 05-9.

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Length: 43 pages
Date of creation: 20 Oct 2005
Date of revision: 03 Oct 2006
Handle: RePEc:hhs:aareco:2005_009

Note: Rev. version
Contact details of provider:
Postal: The Aarhus School of Business, Prismet, Silkeborgvej 2, DK 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
Phone: +45 89 486396
Fax: +45 8615 5175
Web page: http://www.asb.dk/departments/nat.aspx
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Related research
Keywords: Random productivity growth; efficient bargaining; job tenure; wage growth; wage-tenure profiles; option theory;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Coen N. Teulings & Martin A. van der Ende, 2000. "A Structural Model of Tenure and Specific Investments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-009/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 30 Nov 2002. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Topel, Robert H & Ward, Michael P, 1992. "Job Mobility and the Careers of Young Men," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 439-79, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Topel, Robert H, 1991. "Specific Capital, Mobility, and Wages: Wages Rise with Job Seniority," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(1), pages 145-76, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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  1. repec:bep:maccon:v:6:y:2006:i:1:p:1340-1340 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Sebastian Buhai & Miguel Portela & Coenraad N. Teulings & Aico Van Vuuren, 2008. "Returns to Tenure or Seniority?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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