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Continuing Value in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model

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  • Jennergren, L. Peter

    (Dept. of Business Administration, Stockholm School of Economics)

Abstract

The discounted cash flow model, like other firm valuation models, proceeds in two periods. For each year in the explicit forecast period, there is an individual forecast of free cash flow. On the other hand, all of the years in the post-horizon period are represented through one single continuing value formula, being the steady-state value of the firm's productive assets at the horizon. Continuing value is typically derived by applying the Gordon formula to a simple extrapolation of free cash flow at the end of the explicit forecast period. This paper examines the components of continuing value, in particular capital expenditures and tax savings due to depreciation of property, plant and equipment (PPE). The estimation of two somewhat elusive parameters related to capital expenditures, equipment economic life and capital intensity, is discussed. A further analysis indicates that a substantial part of continuing value derives from cash flow associated with already acquired equipment. Also, the error resulting from assuming steady-state rather than lumpy capital expenditures is identified. Implementation issues relating to the explicit forecast period are also commented on.

Suggested Citation

  • Jennergren, L. Peter, 2004. "Continuing Value in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2004:15, Stockholm School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhb:hastba:2004_015
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ohlson, J.A. & Zhang, X.-J., 1997. "On the Theory of Forecast-Horizon in Equity Valuation," Papers 97-14, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
    2. Ohlson, JA & Zhang, XJ, 1999. "On the theory of forecast horizon in equity valuation," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 437-449.
    3. Russell Lundholm & Terry O'Keefe, 2001. "Reconciling Value Estimates from the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Residual Income Model," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(2), pages 311-335, June.
    4. Fernández , Pablo, 2002. "Valuing companies by cash flow discounting: Ten methods and nine theories," IESE Research Papers D/451, IESE Business School.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jonek-Kowalska, Izabela, 2018. "How do turbulent sectoral conditions sector influence the value of coal mining enterprises? Perspectives from the Central-Eastern Europe coal mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 103-112.
    2. Jennergren L. Peter, 2013. "Firm Valuation with Bankruptcy Risk," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-41, October.
    3. Damiano Montani & Francesco Perrini & Daniele Gervasio & Andrea Pulcini, 2017. "The Importance of “Contextualisation” in Small and Medium-Sized Firms Valuation: Evidences from an Italian Case Study," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(1), pages 1-70, December.
    4. Jennergren L. Peter, 2010. "On the Forecasting of Net Property, Plant and Equipment and Depreciation in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, November.
    5. Behr Adam & Mielcarz Paweł & Osiichuk Dmytro, 2018. "Terminal Value Calculation in DCF Valuation Models: An Empirical Verification," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 27-38, March.
    6. Jennergren, L. Peter, 1998. "A Tutorial on the Discounted Cash Flow Model for Valuation of Companies," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 1, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2011.
    7. Rajesh Kumar & Sujit Sukumaran, 2019. "Determinants of Value Creation in Emerging Market Firms ¨C¨C An Empirical Examination," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 79-92, August.
    8. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2009. "On the forecasting of lease expense in firm valuation," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2009:12, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 22 Feb 2010.
    9. Jennergren L. Peter, 2011. "Approximate Firm Valuation with Operating Leases," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, September.
    10. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2011. "Value Driver Formulas for Continuing Value in the Discounted Cash Flow Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2011:5, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 May 2012.
    11. Reis Pedro Nogueira & Augusto Mário Gomes, 2015. "What Is a Firm’s Life Expectancy? Empirical Evidence in the Context of Portuguese Companies," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 45-75, January.

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