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Epidemic Trade

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Author Info

  • Lars Boerner

    ()
    (Freie Universität Berlin)

  • Battista Severgnini

    ()
    (Copenhagen Business School)

Abstract

This paper studies the spread of the Black Death as a proxy for the intensity of medieval trade ows between 1346 and 1351. The Black Death struck most areas of Europe and the wider Mediterranean. Based on a modi ed version of the gravity model, we estimate the speed (in kilometers per day) of transmission of the disease between the transmitting and the receiving cities. We find that the speed depends on distance, political borders, and on the political impor- tance of a city. Furthermore, variables related to the means of transportation like rivers and the sea, religious seasons such as Advent, and geographical position are of substantial significance. These results are the rst to enable us to identify and quantify key variables of medieval trade ows based on an empirical trade model. These results shed new light on many qualitative debates on the importance and causes of medieval trade.Length: 40 pages

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by European Historical Economics Society (EHES) in its series Working Papers with number 0024.

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Date of creation: Aug 2012
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Handle: RePEc:hes:wpaper:0024

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Related research

Keywords: Trade; Middle Ages; Black Death; Gravity model; Poisson regression;

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References

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  1. John H. A. Munro, 2005. "Before and After the Black Death: Money, Prices, and Wages in Fourteenth-Century England," Working Papers munro-04-04, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
  2. Crozet, Matthieu & Head, Keith & Mayer, Thierry, 2009. "Quality Sorting And Trade: Firm-Level Evidence For French Wine," Working Papers 53883, American Association of Wine Economists.
  3. Lars Boerner & Battista Severgnini, 2012. "Epidemic Trade," Working Papers 0024, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
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Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Contagio? Quale Contagio?
    by Paolo Manasse in Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics on 2012-05-17 20:37:00
  2. Contagion? What Contagion?
    by Paolo Manasse in Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics on 2012-05-18 20:12:00
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Cited by:
  1. Lars Boerner & Battista Severgnini, 2012. "Epidemic Trade," Working Papers 0024, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
  2. Wahl, Fabian, 2013. "Does medieval trade still matter? Historical trade centers, agglomeration and contemporary economic development," FZID Discussion Papers 82-2013, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).

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