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Shrinking and Growing Metropolitan Areas - Asymmetric Real Estate Price Reactions?

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Author Info
Lisa Dust (Hamburger Weltwirtschaftsinstitut (HWWI))
Wolfgang Maennig () (Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg)

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Abstract

The population of Germany will be one of the first in the western hemisphere to undergo considerable permanent shrinkage. In view of the relatively low elasticities of supply and demand significant negative price reactions might be expected. This work supplements existing studies by estimating real estate prices for single-family homes on the disaggregate level of Germany’s metropolitan areas. It highlights asymmetric price reactions: growth in population numbers has no significant price effects, whereas declining population numbers lead to significant negative price effects.

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File URL: http://www.hced.uni-hamburg.de/WorkingPapers/HCED_06.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2007
Download Restriction: no

Publisher Info
Paper provided by Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg in its series Working Papers with number 006.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Hamburg Contemporary Economic Discussions, Issue 06, 2007
Handle: RePEc:hce:wpaper:006

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Related research
Keywords: shrinking population; real estates; asymmetric price reactions; regional analysis;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
R21 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
R31 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Production Analysis and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. N. Gregory Mankiw & David N. Weil, 1990. "The Baby Boom, The Baby Bust, and the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 2794, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Engelhardt, Gary V. & Poterba, James M., 1991. "House prices and demographic change: Canadian evidence," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 539-546, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ermisch, J. F. & Findlay, J. & Gibb, K., 1996. "The Price Elasticity of Housing Demand in Britain: Issues of Sample Selection," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 64-86, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. DiPasquale Denise & Wheaton William C., 1994. "Housing Market Dynamics and the Future of Housing Prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 1-27, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-15.


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