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On the Mechanics of Economic Development and Non-Development

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Author Info
Holger Strulik ()

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Abstract

Young adults observe the current interest rate, wage rate, and child mortality and decide about savings and the quantity and quality of their children. Human capital is produced as an external effect of expenditure on child quality and its production is subject to decreasing returns. Depending on the economic environment individuals decide on one of three different lifestyles. The first one generates stabilization at a low income level and high population growth, the second one generates the demographic transition and the third one perpetual growth of a modern economy. If the switch from Malthusian expansion in size towards demographic transition is not generated endogenously, a properly timed development program on education can manage the escape from the low-income equilibrium.

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File URL: http://www.rrz.uni-hamburg.de/wst/qmwps/qm799.ps
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Paper provided by Hamburg University, Department of Economics in its series Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers with number 19911.

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Date of creation: Oct 1999
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Handle: RePEc:ham:qmwops:19911

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  1. Tamura, Robert, 1996. "From decay to growth: A demographic transition to economic growth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(6-7), pages 1237-1261. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gary S. Becker & Kevin M. Murphy & Robert Tamura, . "Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth," University of Chicago - Population Research Center 90-5a, Chicago - Population Research Center. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Alessandro Cigno, 1998. "Fertility decisions when infant survival is endogenous," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 21-28. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Srinivasan, T.N. & Robinson, J.A., 1995. "Long-Term Consequences of Population Growth: Technological Change, Natural Resources, and the Environment," Papers 748, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
  5. Nerlove, Marc & Raut, Lakshmi K., 1993. "Growth models with endogenous population: A general framework," Handbook of Population and Family Economics, in: M. R. Rosenzweig & Stark, O. (ed.), Handbook of Population and Family Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 20, pages 1117-1174 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Jones, Charles I, 1995. "R&D-Based Models of Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(4), pages 759-84, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Ehrlich, Isaac & Lui, Francis T, 1991. "Intergenerational Trade, Longevity, and Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(5), pages 1029-59, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Robert Tamura, 2000. "Growth, fertility and human capital: A survey," Spanish Economic Review, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 183-229. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Robert E. Lucas, Jr., 1989. "On the Mechanics of Economic Development," NBER Reprints 1176, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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