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Popularity Functions for the French President and Prime Minister (1995-2007)

Author

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  • Antoine Auberger

    (IRGEI - Institut de Recherche sur la Gouvernance et l'Economie des Institutions - UP2 - Université Panthéon-Assas)

Abstract

In this article, we study popularity functions for the French President and Prime Minister. We show that the responsibility hypothesis is validated for the unemployment rate but not for the inflation rate. We also show that voters have not a behavior compatible with the rational expectations hypothesis for the Prime Minister's popularity, and that voters have an asymmetric behavior for the unemployment rate. We show the influence of political variables which can depend on Prime Minister changes, the domestic political situation and international political events.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Auberger, 2011. "Popularity Functions for the French President and Prime Minister (1995-2007)," Working Papers halshs-00872313, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00872313
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00872313
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mamadou Boukari & Etienne Farvaque & Daniel Cakpo-Tozo, 2019. "“Oh dear! Oh dear! I shall be too late!†Popularity Gains as an Incentive to Legislate Frantically?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 1488-1507.

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