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Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration

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  • Raouf Boucekkine

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Giorgio Fabbri

    (EPEE - Centre d'Etudes des Politiques Economiques - UEVE - Université d'Évry-Val-d'Essonne)

  • Patrick A. Pintus

    (DGEI-DEMFI-POMONE – Banque de France)

Abstract

This paper aims at clarifying the analytical conditions under which financial globalization originates welfare gains in a simple endogenous growth setting. We focus on an open-economy AK model in which the capital-deepening effect of financial globalization boosts growth in a in permanent but entails an entry cost in order to access international credit markets. We show that constrained borrowing triggers substantial welfare gains, even at small levels of international financial integration, provided that the autarkic growth rate is larger than the world interest rate. Such conditional welfare benefits boosted by stronger growth - long-run gain - arise in our preferred model without investment commitment and they range, relative to autarky, from about 2% in middle-income countries to about 13% in OECD-type countries under international financial integration. Sizeable benefits emerge despite the fact that consumption initially falls - short-run pain - which is however shown not to dwarf positive growth changes.

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  • Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick A. Pintus, 2016. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration," Working Papers halshs-00790569, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00790569
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00790569v6
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    Cited by:

    1. Raouf Boucekkine & Benteng Zou, 2017. "A Note on Risk Sharing versus Instability in International Financial Integration: When Obstfeld Meets Stiglitz," Working Papers halshs-01579120, HAL.
    2. Mauro Bambi & Cristina Girolami & Salvatore Federico & Fausto Gozzi, 2017. "Generically distributed investments on flexible projects and endogenous growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(2), pages 521-558, February.
    3. Marwân-al-Qays Bousmah & Daria Onori, 2016. "Financial Openness, Aggregate Consumption and Threshold Effects," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 358-380, August.
    4. Anne Epaulard & Aude Pommeret, 2016. "Financial Integration, Growth and Volatility," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 330-357, August.
    5. Raouf Boucekkine & Benteng Zou, 2019. "A Pedagogical Note on Risk Sharing Versus Instability in International Financial Integration: When Obstfeld Meets Stiglitz," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 179-190, February.
    6. Fatma Tasdemir, 2023. "Financial Globalization and Growth: The Impacts of Financial Development and Governance," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 99-111, June.
    7. Boucekkine, R. & Fabbri, G. & Pintus, P., 2014. "Growth and financial liberalization under capital collateral constraints: The striking case of the stochastic AK model with CARA preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 303-307.
    8. Fabbri, Giorgio, 2017. "International borrowing without commitment and informational lags: Choice under uncertainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 103-114.
    9. Philippe Darreau & Francois Pigalle, 2017. "International financial integration: Ramsey vs Solow," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1381-1392.
    10. Raouf Boucekkine & Aude Pommeret & Fabien Prieur, 2013. "On the timing and optimality of capital controls: Public expenditures, debt dynamics and welfare," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 9(1), pages 101-112, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth Breaks; Collateral-Constrained Borrowing; International Financial Integration; Endogenous Growth; Welfare Gains;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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