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Aggregate instability under balanced-budget consumption taxes: a re-examination

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  • Carine Nourry

    ()
    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - Université de la Méditerranée - Aix-Marseille II - Université Paul Cézanne - Aix-Marseille III - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) - CNRS : UMR6579)

  • Thomas Seegmuller

    ()
    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - Université de la Méditerranée - Aix-Marseille II - Université Paul Cézanne - Aix-Marseille III - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) - CNRS : UMR6579)

  • Alain Venditti

    ()
    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - Université de la Méditerranée - Aix-Marseille II - Université Paul Cézanne - Aix-Marseille III - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) - CNRS : UMR6579)

Abstract

We re-examine the destabilizing role of balanced-budget fiscal policy rules based on consumption taxation. Using a one-sector model with infinitely-lived households, and assuming that preferences are of the Greenwood-Hercovitz-Huffman [8] (GHH) type, we show that non-linear consumption taxation may destabilize the economy, promoting expectation-driven fluctuations, if the tax rate is counter-cyclical. We also exhibit a Laffer curve, which explains the multiplicity of steady states when the tax rate is counter-cyclical. All these results are mainly driven by the absence of income effect. Finally, a numerical illustration shows that consumption taxation may be a source of instability for most OECD countries.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number halshs-00633609.

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Date of creation: 19 Oct 2011
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Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00633609

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Keywords: Indeterminacy; endogenous business cycles; consumption taxes; balanced-budget rule; infinite-horizon model;

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  1. Giannitsarou, Chryssi, 2006. "Balanced Budget Rules and Aggregate Instability: The Role of Consumption Taxes," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 5531, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
  1. Juin-Jen Chang & Jang-Ting Guo & Jhy-Yuan Shieh & Wei-Neng Wang, 2013. "Sectoral Composition of Government Spending and Macroeconomic (In)stability," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 13-A010, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
  2. Jianpo Xue & Chong K. Yip, 2013. "Balanced-Budget Rules and Aggregate Instability: The Role of Consumption Taxes in a Monetary Economy," Working Papers 112013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  3. Kazuo Nishimura & Carine Nourry & Thomas Seegmuller & Alain Venditti, 2013. "Destabilizing Balanced-Budget Consumption Taxes in Multi-Sector Economies," AMSE Working Papers 1312, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Marseille, France, revised Sep 2012.

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