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Banks Risk Race: A Signaling Explanation

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Author Info
Damien Besancenot () (CEPN - Centre d'économie de l'Université de Paris Nord - CNRS : UMR7115 - Université Paris-Nord - Paris XIII)
Radu Vranceanu () (Department of Economics - ESSEC)

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Abstract

Many observers argue that the abnormal accumulation of risk by banks has been one of the major causes of the 2007-2009 nancial turmoil. But what could have pushed banks to engage in such a risk race? The answer brought by this paper builds on the classical signaling model by Spence. If banks' returns can be observed while risk cannot, less efficient banks can hide their type by taking more risks and paying the same returns as the efficient banks. The latter can signal themselves by taking even higher risks and delivering bigger returns. The game presents several equilibria that are all characterized by excessive risk taking as compared to the perfect information case.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number halshs-00424214_v1.

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Date of creation: 14 Oct 2009
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Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00424214_v1

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Related research
Keywords: Banking sector; Risk strategy; Risk/return tradeoff; Signaling; Imperfect information.;

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  1. Jeanjean, Thomas & Cazavan-Jeny, Anne, 2005. "Levels of voluntary disclosure in IPO prospectuses : an empirical analysis," Les Cahiers de Recherche 827, HEC Paris. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Claudio Borio, 2008. "The financial turmoil of 2007-?: a preliminary assessment and some policy considerations," BIS Working Papers 251, Bank for International Settlements. [Downloadable!]
  3. Cazavan-Jeny, Anne & Jeanjean, Thomas, 2008. "Supply and demand for European accounting research. Evidence from EAA congresses," ESSEC Working Papers DR 08013, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School. [Downloadable!]
  4. Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2009. "Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-2008," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 77-100, Winter.
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  5. Michael Spence, 2002. "Signaling in Retrospect and the Informational Structure of Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(3), pages 434-459, June. [Downloadable!]
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  6. מחקר - ביטוח לאומי, 1900. "קרן מנוף," Working Papers 35, National Insurance Institute of Israel. [Downloadable!]
  7. Spence, A Michael, 1973. "Job Market Signaling," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 87(3), pages 355-74, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Douglas W. Diamond & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2009. "The Credit Crisis: Conjectures about Causes and Remedies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 606-10, May. [Downloadable!]
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