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Habit Formation and Fiscal Transmission in Open Economies

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  • Olivier Cardi

    (ERMES - Equipe de recherche sur les marches, l'emploi et la simulation - UP2 - Université Panthéon-Assas - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, X-DEP-ECO - Département d'Économie de l'École Polytechnique - X - École polytechnique)

  • Gernot J. Muller

    (Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn)

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the ability of an open economy version of the neoclassical model to account for the time-series evidence on fiscal policy transmission. In a first step, we identify government spending shocks within a vector autoregression model. We find that i) government spending increases output and induces a simultaneous decline of investment and the current account, but does not affect consumption; ii) the responses of output and investment are smaller in more open economies, while current account deficits tend to be larger. We find the predictions of the model to be broadly in line with the evidence, once we allow for habit formation in consumption. Specifically, habits are crucial for government spending to induce a simultaneous decline in investment and the current account.

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  • Olivier Cardi & Gernot J. Muller, 2010. "Habit Formation and Fiscal Transmission in Open Economies," Working Papers hal-00544484, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00544484
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00544484
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    Cited by:

    1. Cardi, Olivier & Müller, Gernot J., 2011. "Habit formation and fiscal transmission in open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 256-267.
    2. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain & Claeys, Peter, 2020. "Imperfect mobility of labor across sectors and fiscal transmission," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    3. Olivier Cardi & Romain Restout, 2011. "Fiscal shocks in a two sector open economy," Working Papers hal-00567855, HAL.
    4. Makin, Anthony J. & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema, 2014. "What expenditure does Anglosphere foreign borrowing fund?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 63-78.
    5. Anthony J. Makin, 2013. "The policy (in)effectiveness of government spending in a dependent economy," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 287-301, September.
    6. Virkola, Tuomo, 2014. "Exchange Rate Regime, Fiscal Foresight and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," ETLA Reports 20, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
    7. Cavalcanti, Marco A. F. H. & Vereda, Luciano, 2015. "Fiscal Policy Multipliers in a DSGE Model for Brazil," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 35(2), March.
    8. Born, Benjamin & Juessen, Falko & Müller, Gernot J., 2013. "Exchange rate regimes and fiscal multipliers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 446-465.
    9. Makin, Anthony J. & Ratnasiri, Shyama, 2022. "Do expenditure shocks affect GDP or trade balances in deficit-prone advanced economies?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 930-937.
    10. Makin, Anthony J. & Ratnasiri, Shyama, 2023. "New estimates of international capital mobility for select OECD economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 127-138.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal Policy; Investment; Current Account; Habit Formation; Fiscal Policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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