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Term structure of psychological interest rates: A behavioral test

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Author Info

  • Hubert De La Bruslerie

    ()
    (DRM - Dauphine Recherches en Management - CNRS : UMR7088 - Université Paris IX - Paris Dauphine)

Abstract

A lot of empirical and behavioral studies underline the idea of a non-flat term structure of subjective interest rates with a decreasing slope. Using an empirical test, this paper aims at identifying in individual behaviors whether agents see their psychological value of time decreasing or not. We show that the subjective interest rate follows a negatively sloped term structure. It can be parameterized using two variables, one specifying the instantaneous time preference, the other characterizing the slope of the term structure. A trade-off law called “balancing pressure law” is identified between these two parameters. We show that the term structure of psychological rates depends strongly on gender, but appears not to be linked with life expectancy. We also question the cross relationship between risk aversion and time preference. From a theoretical point of view, these two variables stand as two different and independent dimensions of choice. However, empirically, both time preference attitude and slope seem directly influenced by risk attitude.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00536910.

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Date of creation: Nov 2010
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Publication status: Published - Presented, Southern Finance Association 2010 Conference, 2010, Ashville, USA, United States
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00536910

Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00536910
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Related research

Keywords: hyperbolic discounting; time preference; behavioral economics; psychological time value; risk aversion;

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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