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A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM

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Author Info
Minh Ha-Duong () (CIRED - Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - CIRAD : UMR56 - CNRS : UMR8568 - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales - Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées - Ecole Nationale du Génie Rural des Eaux et des Forêts, EPP - Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University - Aucune)

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Abstract

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are aggregated using the cautious conjunction operator within groups and the non-interactive disjunction across. This method is illustrated with a real-world dataset including 16 experts.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00264124_v1.

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Date of creation: Jun 2008
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Publication status: Published - Presented, IPMU 08. Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, 12th Intl Conference., 2008, Spain
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00264124_v1

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Related research
Keywords: Evidence theory; information fusion; expert opinion;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-10.


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