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The growing evidence of Keynes's methodology advantage and its consequences within the four macro-markets framework

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Angel Asensio () (CEPN - Centre d'économie de l'Université de Paris Nord - CNRS : UMR7115 - Université Paris-Nord - Paris XIII)
Abstract

Recent developments in econometrics and economic theory attest the growing evidence of strong uncertainty. The paper argues that these developments both question seriously the methodological foundations of the mainstream macroeconomics and support Keynes’s powerful concepts and theory. It emphasizes how replacing ‘risk’ with strong uncertainty suffices to transform the standard four-macro-markets system into a shifting demand-driven system, with the result that price rigidity is not to be considered the cause of the effective demand leadership (although, as Keynes pointed out, some rigidity is required to give us some stability in a monetary economy). As it is not based on a restrictive definition of uncertainty, Keynes’s theory is more realistic than the mainstream. It is also more general, for the equilibrium level of employment depends on the views about the future, instead of having a unique ‘natural’ anchor.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00189221_v2.

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Date of creation: 20 Sep 2008
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Publication status: Published - Presented, Methodology after Keynes, 11th SCEME seminar in economic methodology, joint with the Post Keynesian Economics Study Group and the Scottish Institute for Research in Economics, 2008, Stirling, United Kingdom
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00189221_v2

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Keywords: General equilibrium; Uncertainty; Post-Keynesian;

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Roger E. A. Farmer, 2002. "Why Does Data Reject the Lucas Critique," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 67-68, pages 05, Juillet-D. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hinich, Melvin J. & Foster, John & Wild, Phillip, 2006. "Structural change in macroeconomic time series: A complex systems perspective," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 136-150, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Benassy, Jean-Pascal, 2007. "IS-LM and the multiplier: A dynamic general equilibrium model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 189-195, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Evans, George W. & Ramey, Garey, 2006. "Adaptive expectations, underparameterization and the Lucas critique," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 249-264, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Preston, Bruce, 2006. "Adaptive learning, forecast-based instrument rules and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 507-535, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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