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Learning and climate change

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Author Info
Brian C. O'neill
Paul Crutzen
Arnulf Grübler
Minh Ha-Duong () (CIRED - Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - CIRAD : UMR56 - CNRS : UMR8568 - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales - Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées - Ecole Nationale du Génie Rural des Eaux et des Forêts)
Klaus Keller
Charles Kolstad
Jonathan Koomey
Andreas Lange
Michael Obersteiner
Michael Oppenheimer
William Pepper
Warren Sanderson
Michael Schlesinger
Nicolas Treich
Alistair Ulph
Mort Webster
Chris Wilson

Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

Abstract

Learning – i.e. the acquisition of new information that leads to changes in our assessment of uncertainty – plays a prominent role in the international climate policy debate. For example, the view that we should postpone actions until we know more continues to be influential. The latest work on learning and climate change includes new theoretical models, better informed simulations of how learning affects the optimal timing of emissions reductions, analyses of how new information could affect the prospects for reaching and maintaining political agreements and for adapting to climate change, and explorations of how learning could lead us astray rather than closer to the truth. Despite the diversity of this new work, a clear consensus on a central point is that the prospect of learning does not support the postponement of emissions reductions today.

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File URL: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/13/47/18/PDF/ONeill.ea-2006-SubmittedLearningClimateChange.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00134718_v1.

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Date of creation: 2006
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Publication status: Published, Climate Policy, 2006, 6, 5, 1-6
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00134718_v1

Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00134718/en/
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Related research
Keywords: Learning; Uncertainty; Climate change; Decision analysis;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Keller, Klaus & Bolker, Benjamin M. & Bradford, D.F.David F., 2004. "Uncertain climate thresholds and optimal economic growth," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 723-741, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gritsevskyi, Andrii & Nakicenovi, Nebojsa, 2000. "Modeling uncertainty of induced technological change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(13), pages 907-921, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. William D. Nordhaus & David Popp, 1997. "What is the Value of Scientific Knowledge? An Application to Global Warming Using the PRICE Model," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 1-46.
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.


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