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Modélisation séculaire du marché des transports de marchandises. (Modèle « S.D. FRET »)

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bonnafous

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Olivier Garcia

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Secular modelling of the freight market. - This paper offers a freight model for France, which covers a one hundred and fifty years period (1841-1994). Three results can be emphasized from this cliometrics study. First, the elasticity of global traffic with respect to industrial production decreases after the First Worlds War. Then, the performances of the different modes of transport (road, railway, waterway) as regards to pricing and supply determine the market shares in the long-term. Finally, we fail to highlight an impact of trafic pressure on network development.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bonnafous & Olivier Garcia, 2005. "Modélisation séculaire du marché des transports de marchandises. (Modèle « S.D. FRET »)," Post-Print halshs-00112136, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00112136
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00112136
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    Cited by:

    1. Yves Crozet, 2016. "Hyper-mobilité et politiques publiques - Changer d'époque ?," Post-Print halshs-01328814, HAL.

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