Endogenous structural change and climate targets
AbstractThis paper envisages endogenous technical change as resulting from the interplay between the economic growth engine, consumption, technology and localization patterns. We perform numerical simulations with the recursive dynamic general equilibrium model IMACLIM-R to study how modeling induced technical change affects costs of CO2 stabilization. IMACLIM-R incorporates innovative specifications about final consumption of transportation and energy to represent critical stylized facts such as rebound effects and demand induction by infrastructures and equipments. Doing so brings to light how induced technical change may not only lower stabilization costs thanks to pure technological progress, but also triggers induction of final demand - effects critical to both the level of the carbon tax and the costs of policy given a specific stabilization target. Finally, we study the sensitivity of total stabilization costs to various parameters including both technical assumptions as accelerated turnover of equipments and non-energy choices as alternative infrastructure policies.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00009335.
Date of creation: Jan 2006
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Publication status: Published, The Energy Journal, 2006, .
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00009335/en/
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induced technical change; structural change; climate policy; carbon tax; transportation; infrastructures;
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