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Modelling long-run scenarios

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Author Info
Jean-Charles Hourcade () (CIRED - Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - CIRAD : UMR56 - CNRS : UMR8568 - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales - Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées - Ecole Nationale du Génie Rural des Eaux et des Forêts)

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Abstract

This paper intends to draw overall lessons from a long-term study on CO2 emission in France, a country with a rather low energy/GDP ration and in which transition to non-fossil based production of electricity has been achieved. More generally, it points out the importance of possible bifurcation effects, and draws methodological and policy implications from these statements. It discusses modelling approaches to the linkages between energy and the rest of economy, and addresses the issue of difficulties in cost assessment analysis in the presence of several baseline scenarios. Finally, it proposes a more encompassing definition of no regrets policies.

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File URL: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/05/74/53/PDF/JCH1992.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00008564_v1.

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Date of creation: 1993
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Publication status: Published, Energy Policy, 1993, 309-325
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00008564_v1

Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00008564/en/
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Related research
Keywords: Long-run scenarios; Modelling; CO2 emissions;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-22.


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