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Some problems of modelling agricultural trade policy interactions between the EEC and USA
[Quelques problemes de modelisation de l'interaction des politiques commerciales agricoles entre l'Europe et les Etats-Unis]

Author

Listed:
  • Herve Guyomard

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Louis-Pascal Mahe

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Christophe Tavéra

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Thierry Trochet

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

Abstract

Dans le prolongement des simulations d'harmonisation des politiques agricoles de la CEE et des Etats Unis, la communication pose et illustre le probleme de la prise en compte du temps dans les simulations. Si les baisses de prix sont etalees sur plusieurs annees, correspondant a l'horizon temporel de validite des elasticites d'offre et de demande, la statique comparative presente des limites serieuses par rapport a des projections comparatives. Le progres technique en particulier evite les inversions de balance commerciale et modifie le sens des interactions CEE-USA. De meme l'augmentation de la rente liee aux quotas laitiers rend les baisses de prix envisagees (moins 25 pour cent) presque inoperantes.

Suggested Citation

  • Herve Guyomard & Louis-Pascal Mahe & Christophe Tavéra & Thierry Trochet, 1988. "Some problems of modelling agricultural trade policy interactions between the EEC and USA [Quelques problemes de modelisation de l'interaction des politiques commerciales agricoles entre l'Europe e," Post-Print hal-02857549, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02857549
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