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L'impact de la crise sur les dynamiques sectorielles dans les transports internationaux

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  • Emeric Lendjel

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Une dimension spéculative affecte désormais le secteur des transports, en particulier le transport maritime de marchandises. Elle explique la coïncidence de l'essor des commandes de navire avec la formation de la bulle spéculative immobilière et financière que l'on connaît depuis 2002. Comme dans le maritime, tous les modes de transport connaissent une superposition d'une dynamique interne avec la crise actuelle. La question de savoir comment la crise affecte ces dynamiques sectorielles est cruciale pour leur évolution future. Une dynamique sectorielle en phase de croissance n'a a priori aucune raison de conserver les mêmes caractéristiques en phase de récession. Existe-t-il des fragilités systémiques que la crise met à jour et qui en favorisent la propagation ? La crise provoquera-t-elle des mutations industrielles dans certains modes de transport ?

Suggested Citation

  • Emeric Lendjel, 2009. "L'impact de la crise sur les dynamiques sectorielles dans les transports internationaux," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00636502, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00636502
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00636502
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Transport; crise;

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