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Factors leading to inflation targeting - the impact of adoption

Author

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  • Samarina, Anna
  • Sturm, Jan-Egbert

    (Groningen University)

Abstract

This paper examines how the analysis of inflation targeting (IT) adoption is affected by the choice of the analyzed period. We test whether country characteristics influence the decision to apply IT differently before and after its adoption, using panel probit models for 60 countries over the period 1985-2008. Our findings suggest that there is a structural change after IT adoption, as the factors leading to adoption of IT differ significantly from those leading to its continuation. Thus, including the post-adoption period when estimating the factors of IT adoption leads to biased results when interested in the question as of why countries adopt IT.

Suggested Citation

  • Samarina, Anna & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2013. "Factors leading to inflation targeting - the impact of adoption," Research Report 13013-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
  • Handle: RePEc:gro:rugsom:13013-eef
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anna Samarina & Jakob De Haan, 2014. "Right On Target: Exploring The Factors Leading To Inflation Targeting Adoption," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 32(2), pages 372-389, April.
    2. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Rose, Andrew K, 1998. "The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(449), pages 1009-1025, July.
    3. repec:dgr:rugsom:13013-eef is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Anna Samarina & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014. "Factors leading to inflation targeting - the impact of adoption," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(13), pages 918-923, September.
    5. Yifan Hu, 2006. "The choice of inflation targeting—an empirical investigation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 27-42, April.
    6. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Anna Samarina, 2013. "Factors Leading to Inflation Targeting," KOF Working papers 13-346, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    7. Andrew K. Rose, 2000. "One money, one market: the effect of common currencies on trade," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 08-45.
    8. Rose, Andrew K., 2007. "A stable international monetary system emerges: Inflation targeting is Bretton Woods, reversed," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 663-681, September.
    9. Mukherjee, Bumba & Singer, David Andrew, 2008. "Monetary Institutions, Partisanship, and Inflation Targeting," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 62(2), pages 323-358, April.
    10. Frederic S. Mishkin & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2001. "One Decade of Inflation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?," NBER Working Papers 8397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Heijnen, P. & Samarina, A.. & Jacobs, J.P.A.M. & Elhorst, J.P., 2013. "State transfers at different moments in time," Research Report 13006-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    2. Pleninger, Regina & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2020. "The effects of economic globalisation and ethnic fractionalisation on redistribution," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    3. Beckmann, Joscha & Ademmer, Esther & Belke, Ansgar & Schweickert, Rainer, 2017. "The political economy of the impossible trinity," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 103-123.
    4. Anna Samarina & Mirre Terpstra & Jakob De Haan, 2014. "Inflation targeting and inflation performance: a comparative analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 41-56, January.
    5. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Dimakou, Ourania, 2015. "Bureaucratic corruption and the dynamic interaction between monetary and fiscal policy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 57-78.
    7. Anna Samarina & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014. "Factors leading to inflation targeting - the impact of adoption," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(13), pages 918-923, September.
    8. repec:dgr:rugsom:13006-eef is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Michael Bleaney & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation targeting in low‐income countries: Does IT work?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 1529-1550, November.
    10. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Determinants of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271121, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    11. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    12. repec:dgr:rugsom:13013-eef is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Libich, Jan & Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Stehlík, Petr, 2015. "Monetary exit and fiscal spillovers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 184-206.
    14. Hove, Seedwell & Tchana Tchana, Fulbert & Touna Mama, Albert, 2017. "Do monetary, fiscal and financial institutions really matter for inflation targeting in emerging market economies?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 128-149.
    15. Hansen, Daniel, 2020. "The effectiveness of fiscal institutions: International financial flogging or domestic constraint?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    16. Dridi, Ichrak & Boughrara, Adel, 2023. "Flexible inflation targeting and stock market volatility: Evidence from emerging market economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Anna Samarina, 2013. "Factors Leading to Inflation Targeting," KOF Working papers 13-346, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    18. Bergman, U. Michael & Hutchison, Michael, 2015. "Economic stabilization in the post-crisis world: Are fiscal rules the answer?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 82-101.
    19. J. Paul Elhorst & Pim Heijnen & Anna Samarina & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2017. "Transitions at Different Moments in Time: A Spatial Probit Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 422-439, March.
    20. Dridi, Ichrak & Boughrara, Adel, 2021. "On the effect of full-fledged IT adoption on stock returns and their conditional volatility: Evidence from propensity score matching," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 179-194.

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