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Are exports and imports of Chile cointegrated?

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Author Info
Dierk Herzer () (Universität Göttingen)
Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. () (Universität Göttingen)

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Abstract

This study examines the long-run relationship between Chilean exports and imports during the 1975-2004 period using unit root tests and cointegration techniques that allow for endogenously determined structural breaks. The results indicate that there exists a long-run equilibrium between exports and imports in Chile, despite the balance-of-payments crisis of 1982-83. This finding implies that Chile\'s macroeconomic policies have been effective in the long-run and suggests that Chile is not in violation of its international budget constraint.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research in its series Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers with number 111.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 12 Jul 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:got:iaidps:111

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Related research
Keywords: Exports; imports; cointegration; structural break; Chile;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Manuchehr Irandoust & Johan Ericsson, 2004. "Are Imports and Exports Cointegrated? An International Comparison," Metroeconomica, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 49-64, 02. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. James G. MacKinnon, 1995. "Numerical Distribution Functions for Unit Root and Cointegration Tests," Working Papers 918, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Arize, Augustine C., 2002. "Imports and exports in 50 countries: Tests of cointegration and structural breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 101-115, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hyun-Jae Rhee, 1997. "Are Imports And Exports Of Korea Cointegrated?," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 109-114, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Husted, Steven, 1992. "The Emerging U.S. Current Account Deficit in the 1980s: A Cointegration Analysis," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(1), pages 159-66, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Perron, Pierre, 1997. "Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 355-385, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Gregory, Allan W. & Hansen, Bruce E., 1996. "Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 99-126, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Apergis, Nicholas & Katrakilidis, Konstantinos P & Tabakis, Nicholas M, 2000. "Current Account Deficit Sustainability: The Case of Greece," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(9), pages 599-603, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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