Growth and Output Fluctuations
AbstractOutput fluctuations are driven by expectations about the degree of competition in the product market (and R&D sector). We examine how the characteristics of endogenous cycles change in the long run, as labour productivity grows faster. Main results: (i) expansion (or contraction) occurs more (or less) frequently, (ii) expansion becomes milder but contraction severer, (iii) the amplitude of fluctuations becomes larger, (iv) the variance of output changes ambiguously, indicating a non-linear relation. Once the growth of labour productivity is endogenised with learning-by- doing, it grows faster in contraction if the strength of inter-industry learning spillovers is relatively weak.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow in its series Working Papers with number 9810.
Date of creation: Oct 1998
Date of revision:
expectations; fluctuations; growth; learning-by-doing; innovations;
Other versions of this item:
- E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
- O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change; Research and Development; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
- O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
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