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Nelson-Plosser Revisited: the ACF Approach Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Karim Abadir
Giovanni Caggiano
Gabriel Talmain
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We detect a new stylized fact about the common dynamics of macroeconomic and financial aggregates. The rate of decay of the memory (or persistence) of these series is depicted by their autocorrelation functions (ACFs), and they all fit very closely a parsimonious four-parameter functional form that we present. Not only does our formula fit the data better than the ones that arise from autoregressive models, but it also yields the correct shape of the ACF. This can help policymakers understand the lags with which an economy evolves, and its turning points.
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Glasgow in its series Working Papers with number
2005_7.
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Date of creation: Jun 2005Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2005_7Contact details of provider: Postal: Adam Smith Building, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8RT Phone: 0141 330 4618 Fax: 0141 330 4940 Web page: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/economics/ More information through EDIRC
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Find related papers by JEL classification: E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
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